Verified close
DSEI rose, TSI fell as NMB carried 67.2% of turnover
Signal4,188.97 rose 0.15% while 9,173.10 fell 0.07%; TZS 4.528bn traded and NMB supplied 67.2%.
Why it mattersNine names advanced and six declined, yet NMB and CRDB supplied 88.1% of turnover. Directional breadth and money distribution sent different signals.
What to watchWhether the 6 August verified close brings DSEI and TSI back into the same direction while turnover broadens beyond NMB.
Source: DSE · Observed 5 Aug 2026
Go deeper →Money traded
NMB and CRDB supplied 88.1% of the session’s turnover
SignalNMB supplied 67.2% and CRDB 20.9% of TZS 4.528bn in verified equity turnover.
Why it mattersTwenty-one counters traded and advancers led decliners nine to six, but the top two banks absorbed most of the session’s money.
What to watchWhether the 6 August close lowers the top-two share while traded-counter participation remains at or above 21.
Source: DSE · Edition 6 Aug 2026 · Data verified · interpretation: Medium confidence
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Index split
DSEI rose 0.15% while TSI slipped 0.07%
Signal4,188.97 gained 0.15% while 9,173.10 fell 0.07%; the all-share and domestic-only indices moved in opposite directions.
Why it mattersCross-listed and domestic components did not send one market-wide direction, so the all-share headline did not describe the local board alone.
What to watchThe 6 August close tests whether the two indices reconverge or extend the split.
Source: DSE · Edition 6 Aug 2026 · Data verified · interpretation: Medium confidence
Go deeper →Policy transmission
The seven-day interbank rate fell back below the CBR
SignalBoT’s seven-day IBCM rate fell 23bp to 6.21% on 5 August, four basis points below the 6.25% CBR.
Why it mattersNear-term interbank pricing converged on the policy anchor, while the latest 91-day bill remained about 290bp below it on a different date.
What to watchThe next verified IBCM observation and Treasury-bill result test whether the gap narrows or persists.
Source: Bank of Tanzania · Edition 6 Aug 2026 · Data verified · interpretation: Medium confidence
Go deeper →External buffer
Import cover cleared Tanzania’s floor but not the EAC benchmark
SignalBoT placed official reserves around US$6bn and import cover at 4.3 months in the quarter to June.
Why it mattersCoverage exceeded Tanzania’s four-month statutory floor but remained below the EAC’s 4.5-month and SADC’s six-month benchmarks.
What to watchThe next official reserve print tests whether import cover clears the 4.5-month EAC benchmark.
Source: Bank of Tanzania · Edition 6 Aug 2026 · Data verified · interpretation: Medium confidence
Go deeper →The Ghost
The model book
The Ghost’s hypothetical TZS 500m model book is +8.07% since inception at its 5 Aug mark. Split indices, concentrated turnover, near-anchor interbank pricing and reserve adequacy update the risk map; not trades.
Ghost relevance: how today’s rates, FX, gold and inflation read against a hypothetical model-book; educational, not advice.
Open the Ghost tracker → The terrain it reads →