KCP. USD/TZS 2,645
USD / TZS 2,639.85Gold $4,047BoT rate 6.25%Inflation 4.0% 27 Jul 2026 verified close
Tanzania Intelligence

The Brief

Vol. I · No. 209
Tuesday, 28 July 2026
Verified closeDSE · BoT · frozen to the covered session27 Jul 2026 verified close

A daily reading of Tanzania’s markets, capital and policy, with regional and global forces when they materially change the read. Information and education, never advice.

The Brief is written the morning after the market closes. This edition analyses Monday, 27 July 2026; the most recent verified session. Its figures are frozen to that close; for today’s live moves see Markets.


DSE All-Share
4,141.73▼ 0.2%
27 Jul close · latest verified
Tanzania Share Index
9,059.46
TSI · 27 Jul · domestic
USD / TZS
2,639.85
BoT mean · 27 Jul sheet
BoT rate
6.25%
Q3 2026 CBR
91-day T-bill
3.44%
BoT WAR · latest auction
364-day T-bill
6.74%
BoT WAR · latest auction
Inflation
4.0%
June · inside 3 to 5% band
Today in 60 seconds
  1. Money returned, but four counters carried almost eighty-five per cent of the session
  2. Vodacom's operating growth now has a market price
  3. NMB's split changes the trading ticket, not the economics
WatchUS FOMC decision28 to 29 Jul 2026
Read the full Brief ↓

Did the domestic-only and all-share indices tell the same story over the covered quarter?

The domestic market against the headline index

2026-04-27 = 100 · frozen at the 2026-07-27 covered session

+7.4%TSI · quarter+7.6%DSEI · quarter
Coverage 2026-04-27 → 2026-07-27 Vintage 2026-07-27 · final Revision current · v0
The domestic market against the headline index. Exact values underlying the chart.
DateIndexRebasedRaw level
2026-04-27Tanzania Share Index1008,437.57
2026-04-28Tanzania Share Index100.96078,518.63
2026-04-29Tanzania Share Index102.53378,651.35
2026-04-30Tanzania Share Index102.81658,675.21
2026-05-04Tanzania Share Index101.42678,557.95
2026-05-05Tanzania Share Index100.15168,450.36
2026-05-06Tanzania Share Index99.01458,354.42
2026-05-07Tanzania Share Index98.14978,281.45
2026-05-08Tanzania Share Index99.23328,372.87
2026-05-11Tanzania Share Index100.79998,505.06
2026-05-12Tanzania Share Index100.78928,504.16
2026-05-13Tanzania Share Index100.3578,467.69
2026-05-14Tanzania Share Index99.76088,417.39
2026-05-15Tanzania Share Index99.66148,409
2026-05-18Tanzania Share Index100.12258,447.91
2026-05-19Tanzania Share Index100.26938,460.29
2026-05-20Tanzania Share Index99.99068,436.78
2026-05-21Tanzania Share Index101.04258,525.53
2026-05-22Tanzania Share Index101.47728,562.21
2026-05-25Tanzania Share Index103.23888,710.85
2026-05-26Tanzania Share Index103.88458,765.33
2026-05-28Tanzania Share Index104.12568,785.67
2026-05-29Tanzania Share Index103.99318,774.49
2026-06-01Tanzania Share Index104.44278,812.43
2026-06-02Tanzania Share Index105.12328,869.84
2026-06-03Tanzania Share Index104.66378,831.07
2026-06-04Tanzania Share Index105.02118,861.23
2026-06-05Tanzania Share Index104.46798,814.55
2026-06-08Tanzania Share Index104.50758,817.89
2026-06-09Tanzania Share Index104.04528,778.89
2026-06-10Tanzania Share Index103.42678,726.7
2026-06-11Tanzania Share Index102.41468,641.3
2026-06-12Tanzania Share Index101.85548,594.12
2026-06-15Tanzania Share Index100.7568,501.36
2026-06-16Tanzania Share Index101.84828,593.51
2026-06-17Tanzania Share Index102.14628,618.66
2026-06-18Tanzania Share Index102.62428,658.99
2026-06-19Tanzania Share Index102.50018,648.52
2026-06-22Tanzania Share Index102.1998,623.11
2026-06-23Tanzania Share Index102.06878,612.12
2026-06-24Tanzania Share Index102.34878,635.74
2026-06-25Tanzania Share Index102.59328,656.37
2026-06-26Tanzania Share Index103.19828,707.42
2026-06-29Tanzania Share Index103.51768,734.37
2026-06-30Tanzania Share Index104.0248,777.1
2026-07-01Tanzania Share Index104.99018,858.61
2026-07-02Tanzania Share Index105.62258,911.97
2026-07-03Tanzania Share Index106.63138,997.09
2026-07-06Tanzania Share Index106.44888,981.69
2026-07-08Tanzania Share Index106.18128,959.11
2026-07-09Tanzania Share Index105.86658,932.56
2026-07-10Tanzania Share Index105.69718,918.27
2026-07-13Tanzania Share Index105.62988,912.59
2026-07-14Tanzania Share Index105.40448,893.57
2026-07-15Tanzania Share Index105.87178,933
2026-07-16Tanzania Share Index105.95818,940.29
2026-07-17Tanzania Share Index106.30228,969.32
2026-07-20Tanzania Share Index106.10088,952.33
2026-07-21Tanzania Share Index105.99548,943.44
2026-07-22Tanzania Share Index106.34058,972.55
2026-07-23Tanzania Share Index106.72919,005.34
2026-07-24Tanzania Share Index106.52378,988.01
2026-07-27Tanzania Share Index107.37059,059.46
2026-04-27DSE All Share1003,850.95
2026-04-28DSE All Share100.72793,878.98
2026-04-29DSE All Share101.66793,915.18
2026-04-30DSE All Share101.77413,919.27
2026-05-04DSE All Share100.6373,875.48
2026-05-05DSE All Share99.6313,836.74
2026-05-06DSE All Share98.78163,804.03
2026-05-07DSE All Share98.17763,780.77
2026-05-08DSE All Share99.04473,814.16
2026-05-11DSE All Share100.13433,856.12
2026-05-12DSE All Share100.39813,866.28
2026-05-13DSE All Share99.79883,843.2
2026-05-14DSE All Share99.48663,831.18
2026-05-15DSE All Share99.42173,828.68
2026-05-18DSE All Share99.76013,841.71
2026-05-19DSE All Share99.86033,845.57
2026-05-20DSE All Share99.46143,830.21
2026-05-21DSE All Share100.23193,859.88
2026-05-22DSE All Share100.62583,875.05
2026-05-25DSE All Share101.83073,921.45
2026-05-26DSE All Share102.29483,939.32
2026-05-28DSE All Share102.23143,936.88
2026-05-29DSE All Share102.1953,935.48
2026-06-01DSE All Share102.52543,948.2
2026-06-02DSE All Share102.8453,960.51
2026-06-03DSE All Share102.64973,952.99
2026-06-04DSE All Share102.89363,962.38
2026-06-05DSE All Share102.15873,934.08
2026-06-08DSE All Share102.35973,941.82
2026-06-09DSE All Share102.20023,935.68
2026-06-10DSE All Share101.98523,927.4
2026-06-11DSE All Share101.18783,896.69
2026-06-12DSE All Share100.96313,888.04
2026-06-15DSE All Share100.27293,861.46
2026-06-16DSE All Share101.20723,897.44
2026-06-17DSE All Share101.59393,912.33
2026-06-18DSE All Share102.57523,950.12
2026-06-19DSE All Share102.32513,940.49
2026-06-22DSE All Share101.63283,913.83
2026-06-23DSE All Share101.7123,916.88
2026-06-24DSE All Share102.0943,931.59
2026-06-25DSE All Share103.33143,979.24
2026-06-26DSE All Share104.52254,025.11
2026-06-29DSE All Share104.91024,040.04
2026-06-30DSE All Share105.13774,048.8
2026-07-01DSE All Share105.35634,057.22
2026-07-02DSE All Share106.21044,090.11
2026-07-03DSE All Share106.90174,116.73
2026-07-06DSE All Share106.54364,102.94
2026-07-08DSE All Share106.52074,102.06
2026-07-09DSE All Share106.18784,089.24
2026-07-10DSE All Share106.0114,082.43
2026-07-13DSE All Share105.9654,080.66
2026-07-14DSE All Share105.94744,079.98
2026-07-15DSE All Share106.24264,091.35
2026-07-16DSE All Share106.54364,102.94
2026-07-17DSE All Share106.77834,111.98
2026-07-20DSE All Share106.54074,102.83
2026-07-21DSE All Share106.26394,092.17
2026-07-22DSE All Share106.51584,101.87
2026-07-23DSE All Share106.79554,112.64
2026-07-24DSE All Share107.76934,150.14
2026-07-27DSE All Share107.55094,141.73

Read: The rebased paths show the part of the domestic move that the broader headline index does; and does not; capture.

Index scope differs. Neither line is the return of every constituent or of a reader’s portfolio.

DSE Tape Check

Market breadth
Negative tilt
10 rose, 11 fell
Advancers against decliners on the verified DSE close.

Descriptive flags from the verified DSE close; not signals, predictions, or advice. The official close, fully broken down; After the Bell →

Verified close

Money returned, but four counters carried almost eighty-five per cent of the session

Signal

4,141.73 fell 0.20% while 9,059.46 rose 0.80%; turnover reached TZS 14.38bn, with four counters supplying 84.7%.

Why it matters

Monday added funded activity, but not broad participation: NMB, VODA, TBL and CRDB dominated the tape while the two indices diverged.

What to watch

Whether turnover spreads beyond four names, VODA's move holds on two-sided volume, and the NMB split widens order depth.

Source: DSE · Observed 27 Jul 2026
Go deeper →
Mobile

Vodacom's operating growth now has a market price

Signal

VODA rose 9.7% to TZS 905 on 3.77m shares after service revenue grew 21.7% and EBITDA 37% in Q1 FY2027.

Why it matters

The filing gained a market price, but the soft prior-year base makes the headline growth rates poor run-rate proxies.

What to watch

Whether the 38.3% EBITDA margin holds as capex normalises, finance costs evolve and the next dividend decision is disclosed.

Source: Vodacom Tanzania · DSE · Edition 28 Jul 2026 · Data as reported · interpretation: Medium confidence
Go deeper →
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Capital markets

NMB's split changes the trading ticket, not the economics

Signal

NMB's 1-for-10 subdivision lifts listed shares from 500m to 5bn; post-split trading starts 24 August, with no value dilution.

Why it matters

The lower trading ticket may widen participation, but it adds no capital and changes no holder's proportionate economic interest.

What to watch

The 20 to 21 August pause, 21 August register close, then order count, spread and turnover after the 24 August restart.

Source: NMB Bank · Edition 28 Jul 2026 · Data as reported · interpretation: Medium confidence
Go deeper →
Manufacturing

Two cement filings show demand and different balance-sheet pressure

Signal

TCCL Q2 net profit rose to TZS 9.4bn from 3.8bn; TPCC's rose 4.5% to TZS 16.78bn as its cost of sales grew 26.5%.

Why it matters

Both filings show construction demand, but balance-sheet choices diverge: TCCL faces refinancing while TPCC prioritised distributions.

What to watch

TCCL's TZS 104bn current borrowings, both firms' margin paths, TPCC capex and any financing or dividend follow-through.

Source: Tanga Cement · Twiga Cement · Edition 28 Jul 2026 · Data as reported · interpretation: Medium confidence
Go deeper →
Policy

External financing and solar delivery move from approval to execution

Signal

IMF reviews released about US$443.8m; Kishapu solar phase two adds a TZS 204.4bn contract and a 17-month delivery clock.

Why it matters

Both are execution stories: one missed IMF criterion and three incomplete reforms remain, while power benefits depend on delivery.

What to watch

The waiver, energy-reform milestones, contractor mobilisation, grid integration and commissioning over the 17-month window.

Source: IMF · TANESCO · Edition 28 Jul 2026 · Data verified · interpretation: Medium confidence
Go deeper →
The Ghost

The model book

The Ghost's hypothetical TZS 500m model book is +6.10% since inception at its 27 Jul mark. VODA's move and NMB's split sit inside a bank-and-mobile-heavy model-book allocation; they are terrain for studying concentration, liquidity and event mechanics, not trades.

Ghost relevance: how today’s rates, FX, gold and inflation read against a hypothetical model-book; educational, not advice.

Open the Ghost tracker → The terrain it reads →
Week ahead; what to watch
WhenEventWhy it matters
28 to 29 Jul 2026US FOMC decisionThe scheduled global-rate event for the dollar backdrop; the following BoT FX sheets show whether the latest shilling drift extends or fades.
≈29 Jul 2026 (inferred cadence, not an official BoT date)T-bill auction No. 1204The next posted result tests whether the 91-day yield remains about 290bp below the 6.25% CBR; the inferred date is not treated as fact.
30 Jul 2026Bank of England decisionThe vote tests the balance between softer activity and energy-linked inflation risk after the June hold at 3.75%.
20 to 24 Aug 2026NMB share-subdivision windowThe pause, register close and restart create the first observable test of whether a lower unit price broadens order depth and participation.
Get the Daily Brief before the market opens.

A free daily Tanzania market-intelligence note covering DSE moves, rates, FX, policy, macro signals and what to watch next.

Information and education only. No advice. No noise. Unsubscribe anytime.

Compiled from public sources for information and education only; not investment advice, and not a forecast. Equity and index figures reconcile to the Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange verified close (27 Jul 2026); rates, FX and gold to the Bank of Tanzania; inflation to the NBS. The current Wire hand-off was read first and all four primary-grade corporate candidates were incorporated; the ≈29 Jul auction date is inferred from cadence, not an official calendar entry. For live market levels see Markets.

Archive; past editions56
Friday's wider advance still depended on three counters for 84.7% of turnoverMonday, 17 August 2026NMB mechanics and a long-bond auction turn last week's gains into tests of market depthSunday, 16 August 2026Both indices rose, but five-session turnover still depended on a few namesSaturday, 15 August 2026Both headline indices accelerated; NMB still carried 66.1% of turnoverFriday, 14 August 2026Both headline indices advanced; NMB still carried 72.5% of turnoverThursday, 13 August 2026Both headline indices fell; two banks still carried 87.6% of turnoverWednesday, 12 August 2026Inflation rose to 4.2%; transport remained the pressure pointTuesday, 11 August 2026An official curve arrives; market depth is the testMonday, 10 August 2026A narrow equity tape meets a dated rates test while credit evidence awaits confirmationSunday, 9 August 2026The indices eased, two banks carried the money, and private credit acceleratedSaturday, 8 August 2026Private credit accelerated to 28.1% as the equity tape split againFriday, 7 August 2026DSEI rose, TSI fell as NMB carried 67.2% of turnoverThursday, 6 August 2026Breadth balanced, but CRDB and NMB still carried 73.0% of turnoverWednesday, 5 August 2026The indices barely moved; CRDB and NMB supplied 94.3% of turnoverTuesday, 4 August 2026TZS 30.46bn traded, but TBL carried nearly four shillings in fiveMonday, 3 August 2026Domestic strength enters a breadth test while the next policy and issuer evidence waits on the calendarSunday, 2 August 2026Domestic shares outran the headline index; but two concentrated sessions supplied most of the moneySaturday, 1 August 2026Indices rose, but two banks carried 84.1% of turnoverFriday, 31 July 2026Indices rose, but two banks carried 92.6% of turnoverThursday, 30 July 2026Every domestic index rose, but two banks carried almost nine shillings in tenWednesday, 29 July 2026The test week opens: a credit tailwind lands on the banks that sat still through the recordMonday, 27 July 2026A record made on three prints meets its first dated tests; the month-end auction and an FOMC weekSunday, 26 July 2026A record with an asterisk; the All-Share closes at an all-time high in a week more names fell than roseSaturday, 25 July 2026The rise broadens into industrials and services; but CRDB carries more than half the moneyFriday, 24 July 2026The give-back reverses on the heaviest tape in weeks; but three-quarters of it is one Breweries blockThursday, 23 July 2026A second thin give-back leaves the tape 25 points off the high; while the exchange's half-year numbers tell the opposite storyWednesday, 22 July 2026A thin Monday pause nine points under the record, as the rail story hardens from headlines into contractsTuesday, 21 July 2026Monday reopens off Friday's record-adjacent close, into a week with nothing dated on the calendarMonday, 20 July 2026A week with nothing dated on the market calendar; so the question turns to breadth, not dataSunday, 19 July 2026The DSE claws back its early-July dip; up 0.72% on three straight gains, back within a whisker of its recordSaturday, 18 July 2026CRDB supplies 93% of a TZS 55.20bn board while breadth turns negativeFriday, 17 July 2026The crossing did not repeat; turnover falls 28x to TZS 2.71bn and the All-Share gains for the first time in seven sessionsThursday, 16 July 2026CRDB alone was 97% of Tuesday's board; TZS 73.4bn on 27.2m shares as the All-Share eased a sixth sessionWednesday, 15 July 2026Inflation eases to 4.0% in June; the first read after the fuel-subsidy exit and the 50bp hike passes the band testTuesday, 14 July 2026The DSE reopens at 4,082.43 with four declines behind it and the week's two dated events aheadMonday, 13 July 2026Two dated events, one question: what the hurdle rate is, and who pays for the ambitionSunday, 12 July 2026Four sessions, four declines: the DSE gives back a little of its record, and one CRDB crossing carries the tapeSaturday, 11 July 2026The DSE eases in its first full session back as a mild foreign net-selling tilt meets thin breadthFriday, 10 July 2026Saba Saba reframed as a managed trade showcase as the runway to the 17 July Vision 2050 launch clearsThursday, 9 July 2026Saba Saba passes as a shutdown, not a clash: Kariakoo deserted under heavy security as the market reopensWednesday, 8 July 2026Saba Saba day: DSE closed and security deployed across Dar, with a quiet commemoration the base caseTuesday, 7 July 2026Saba Saba eve: rally ban enforced with deployments across Dar as the TPDF warns off protest callsMonday, 6 July 2026Bank of Tanzania lifts the policy rate to 6.25%, the first tightening of the cycleSunday, 5 July 2026DSE All-Share caps a record week at 4,116.73 with a third straight all-time highSaturday, 4 July 2026DSE All-Share extends the record run to 4,090.11 as banks carry the fiscal-year openFriday, 3 July 2026DSE All-Share opens the fiscal year at a record 4,057.22 as domestic counters leadThursday, 2 July 2026Tanzania's record budget and Vision 2050 take legal effect as the execution clock startsWednesday, 1 July 2026Tanzania's record budget and DIRA 2050 take legal effect tomorrow as the fiscal year turnsTuesday, 30 June 2026DIRA 2050's implementation instruments launch today as Tanzania's new fiscal year opensMonday, 29 June 2026Tanzania opens its new fiscal year: DIRA 2050 instruments launch Monday, DSE reopens above 4,000Sunday, 28 June 2026DSE All-Share jumps 2.38% to 4,025 as cross-listed banks outpace the domestic tapeFriday, 26 June 2026Tanzania enters 2026/27 with a record budget and a 25-year horizonThursday, 25 June 2026Vision 2050 launch nears as DIRA planning instruments reach parliamentWednesday, 24 June 2026DIRA 2050 launches 1 July with a $47bn strategic-project spineTuesday, 23 June 2026TZS 62.33tn FY2026/27 budget takes effect 1 JulyMonday, 22 June 2026Samia to launch Vision (Dira) 2050 instruments on 29 JuneSunday, 21 June 2026