Tanzania Share Index 9,215.18 ▼ 0.04%USD / TZS 2,645.68 ▼ 0.15%BoT rate 6.25%Inflation 4.0% 31 Jul 2026 verified close
Tanzania Intelligence

The Brief

Vol. I · No. 215
Monday, 3 August 2026
Verified closeDSE · BoT · frozen to the covered session31 Jul 2026 verified close

A daily reading of Tanzania’s markets, capital and policy, with regional and global forces when they materially change the read. Information and education, never advice.

The Brief is written the morning after the market closes. This edition analyses Friday, 31 July 2026; the most recent verified session. Its figures are frozen to that close; for today’s live moves see Markets.


DSE All-Share
4,190.41▼ 0.11%
DSEI · 31 Jul close · latest verified
Tanzania Share Index
9,215.18
TSI · 31 Jul · domestic
USD / TZS
2,645.68▼ 0.15%
BoT mean · 3 Aug sheet
BoT rate
6.25%
CBR · Q3 2026
91-day T-bill
3.39%
BoT WAR · latest auction
364-day T-bill
6.29%
BoT WAR · latest auction
Inflation
4.0%
NBS · June 2026 headline
Today in 60 seconds
  1. TZS 30.46bn traded, but TBL carried nearly four shillings in five
  2. TBL supplied 78.1% of the session while NMB supplied another 13.3%
  3. Industrials rose while Commercial Services fell 4.24%
WatchDSE breadth and turnover distributionafter the 3 Aug session
Read the full Brief ↓

Did the domestic market and the headline index move together or apart over the covered quarter?

The domestic market against the headline index

Cumulative TSI return minus cumulative DSEI return · frozen at the 2026-07-31 covered session

-0.38 ppCurrent spread+1.48 ppHighest spread-2.10 ppLowest spread
Coverage 2026-05-04 → 2026-07-31 Vintage 2026-07-31 · final Revision current · v0
The domestic market against the headline index. Exact values underlying the chart.
DateRelationshipCumulative gap (pp)
2026-05-04Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0
2026-05-05Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.26
2026-05-06Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.54
2026-05-07Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.8
2026-05-08Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.58
2026-05-11Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.1
2026-05-12Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.38
2026-05-13Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.21
2026-05-14Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.49
2026-05-15Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.52
2026-05-18Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.4
2026-05-19Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.36
2026-05-20Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.23
2026-05-21Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.04
2026-05-22Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.08
2026-05-25Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.62
2026-05-26Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.79
2026-05-28Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.08
2026-05-29Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.99
2026-06-01Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.1
2026-06-02Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.44
2026-06-03Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.19
2026-06-04Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.3
2026-06-05Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.48
2026-06-08Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.32
2026-06-09Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.04
2026-06-10Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.65
2026-06-11Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.46
2026-06-12Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.13
2026-06-15Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.26
2026-06-16Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.11
2026-06-17Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.2
2026-06-18Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.7
2026-06-19Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.57
2026-06-22Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.19
2026-06-23Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.4
2026-06-24Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.5
2026-06-25Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.47
2026-06-26Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-2.03
2026-06-29Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-2.1
2026-06-30Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.82
2026-07-01Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.1
2026-07-02Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.31
2026-07-03Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.01
2026-07-06Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.84
2026-07-08Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.07
2026-07-09Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.06
2026-07-10Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.05
2026-07-13Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.07
2026-07-14Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.27
2026-07-15Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.1
2026-07-16Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.3
2026-07-17Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.2
2026-07-20Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.17
2026-07-21Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.01
2026-07-22Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.92
2026-07-23Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.81
2026-07-24Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.92
2026-07-27Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.92
2026-07-28Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.52
2026-07-29Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.43
2026-07-30Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.45
2026-07-31Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.38

Read: Above zero means the domestic index led. Below zero means the all-share led. A flat line near zero means their paths were similar.

Index scope differs. The measure adds only sessions with comparable published returns and is not a portfolio return. The excluded session remains disclosed in the values table.

DSE Tape Check

Market breadth
Negative tilt
8 rose, 10 fell
Advancers against decliners on the verified DSE close.
Turnover concentration
Block-driven
One name carried the tape
Tanzania Breweries was 78% of turnover; index moves overstate how broad the day really was.

Descriptive flags from the verified DSE close; not signals, predictions, or advice. The official close, fully broken down; After the Bell →

Verified close

TZS 30.46bn traded, but TBL carried nearly four shillings in five

Signal

4,190.41 slipped 0.11% and 9,215.18 0.04%; equity turnover reached TZS 30.46bn, with 78.1% in TBL.

Why it matters

The value was 4.53× the held-session median, yet 20 of 28 names traded and decliners led advancers 10 to eight. High turnover did not equal broad liquidity.

What to watch

Whether the next close keeps ordinary two-sided turnover above recent norms while reducing single-counter concentration.

Source: DSE · Observed 31 Jul 2026
Go deeper →
Tape

TBL supplied 78.1% of the session while NMB supplied another 13.3%

Signal

TBL contributed TZS 23.79bn and NMB TZS 4.05bn of the verified TZS 30.46bn equity turnover.

Why it matters

A large printed total can still provide limited two-sided liquidity when two counters supply 91.4% of value. Concentration and depth are separate observations.

What to watch

The 3 August close tests whether value spreads across more counters and whether TBL's share returns toward ordinary levels.

Source: DSE · Edition 3 Aug 2026 · Data verified · interpretation: Medium confidence
Go deeper →
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Sectors

Industrials rose while Commercial Services fell 4.24%

Signal

Industrial & Allied rose 1.04% and Banks 0.20%, while Commercial Services fell 4.24% at the verified close.

Why it matters

The All-Share's 0.11% decline compressed sharply different sector moves. The headline index alone did not describe where the repricing occurred.

What to watch

Whether the next verified close narrows the sector gap or extends the services decline alongside gains elsewhere.

Source: DSE · Edition 3 Aug 2026 · Data verified · interpretation: Medium confidence
Go deeper →
FX

The latest BoT mean strengthened 0.15%, but remained 0.31% above 24 July

Signal

BoT's 3 August USD/TZS mean was 2,645.6774, down 0.15% from 31 July but still 0.31% above 24 July.

Why it matters

A lower USD/TZS mean marks modest shilling strengthening over the latest interval; the longer comparison still shows mild weakening, not a one-way break.

What to watch

The next official BoT exchange-rate sheet tests whether the latest strengthening extends or remains a small reversal within the longer move.

Source: Bank of Tanzania · Edition 3 Aug 2026 · Data verified · interpretation: Medium confidence
Go deeper →
Agriculture

Policy ambition moved twice, but financing instruments remain undisclosed

Signal

An edible-oil plan reports a TZS 957.6bn requirement; a later TADB directive disclosed no new allocation, guarantee or project list.

Why it matters

A stated financing need and lending direction do not equal mobilized capital. Execution becomes measurable when funded instruments and eligible projects appear.

What to watch

A budgeted facility, guarantee, priority-value-chain schedule, private commitment or retained primary strategy document.

Source: Daily News · article text · Edition 3 Aug 2026 · Data as reported · interpretation: Medium confidence
Go deeper →
The Ghost

The model book

The Ghost's hypothetical TZS 500m model book is +8.16% since inception at its 31 Jul mark. Friday's TBL turnover concentration and the split direction of sectors and FX are terrain for studying liquidity, diversification and currency translation; not trades.

Ghost relevance: how today’s rates, FX, gold and inflation read against a hypothetical model-book; educational, not advice.

Open the Ghost tracker → The terrain it reads →
Week ahead; what to watch
WhenEventWhy it matters
after the 3 Aug sessionDSE breadth and turnover distributionThe 31 July close printed TZS 30.46bn, but TBL and NMB supplied 91.4%; the next verified close tests whether value and participation broaden.
date not announcedNext official BoT exchange-rate sheetThe 3 August mean strengthened 0.15% from 31 July while remaining 0.31% above 24 July; the next sheet tests which interval persists.
date not announcedNext verified BoT Treasury-bill resultAuction No. 1203 remains the latest verified result, with the 91-day yield at 3.3472%, 182-day at 4.7799% and 364-day at 7.0258%.
date not announcedAgriculture financing instrumentsThe edible-oil requirement and TADB direction remain policy signals until a funded facility, guarantee, eligible-project schedule or private commitment is disclosed.
date not announcedConstitutional-process instrumentReported intent and consultations have not yet supplied a published legal instrument, commission membership, draft text or referendum calendar.
Get the Daily Brief before the market opens.

A free daily Tanzania market-intelligence note covering DSE moves, rates, FX, policy, macro signals and what to watch next.

Information and education only. No advice. No noise. Unsubscribe anytime.

Compiled from public sources for information and education only; not investment advice, a forecast or a recommendation. Equity and index figures reconcile to the DSE verified close (31 Jul 2026); rates and FX use Bank of Tanzania publications, and inflation uses NBS. The current Wire hand-off was read first and contained no primary-grade card. The two agriculture reports are retained as government-signal evidence from Daily News article text: TZS 957.6bn is a reported financing requirement, not committed or mobilized capital, and the TADB directive disclosed no new allocation, guarantee or eligible-project list. No foreign-flow split is inferred from the official session snapshot. Undated checkpoints remain explicitly undated. For live levels see Markets.

Archive; past editions59
Domestic shares fell faster than the wider marketSaturday, 3 October 2026Share trading slowed as both price indices fellFriday, 2 October 2026Share trading rose as both price indices edged higherThursday, 1 October 2026More money traded in shares while both indices fellWednesday, 30 September 2026Both share indices fell as trading value roseTuesday, 29 September 2026Share prices rose, but two banks carried most trading valueMonday, 28 September 2026Can the share-price rise hold across more of the market?Sunday, 27 September 2026Domestic shares rose faster than the wider marketSaturday, 26 September 2026Share indices rose, while two banks carried most trading valueFriday, 25 September 2026Share-price measures fell; two banks carried most trading moneyThursday, 24 September 2026Shares rose, but one bank carried most trading valueWednesday, 23 September 2026Share prices rose, and more traded companies advanced than declinedTuesday, 22 September 2026Share indices fell, with most trading in two banksMonday, 21 September 2026Wednesday tests borrowing costs after a weaker share-trading weekSunday, 20 September 2026Shares fell as less money changed handsSaturday, 19 September 2026Share indices fell as NMB dominated tradingFriday, 18 September 2026Both indices fell as trading stayed narrowThursday, 17 September 2026Indices split, trading stayed concentratedWednesday, 16 September 2026Indices rose, trading stayed narrowTuesday, 15 September 2026Friday gains, concentrated tradingMonday, 14 September 2026Will trading value catch up with rising indices?Sunday, 13 September 2026Share indices rose as less money changed handsSaturday, 12 September 2026Both main indices rose as two banks carried most tradingFriday, 11 September 2026Both main indices rose as equity turnover fell by halfThursday, 10 September 2026The broad index fell while domestic shares edged higherWednesday, 9 September 2026Both main indices rose again, while two banks carried most trading valueTuesday, 8 September 2026Both main indices rose, but two banks still carried most trading valueMonday, 7 September 2026Index direction, trading breadth and Wednesday's bill auction set the next testsSunday, 6 September 2026The broad market rose while Tanzania-listed shares ended lowerSaturday, 5 September 2026CRDB supplied more than three quarters of Thursday's equity turnoverFriday, 4 September 2026Wednesday's DSE close combined a higher DSEI with a lower TSIThursday, 3 September 2026Tuesday's indices weakened while NMB carried most trading valueWednesday, 2 September 2026Monday eased while one bank carried most trading valueTuesday, 1 September 2026Friday rose, but one bank still carried most trading valueMonday, 31 August 2026Comparability, liquidity breadth and Wednesday's bond auction set the next evidence testsSunday, 30 August 2026Index returns stayed unavailable as Friday liquidity remained concentratedSaturday, 29 August 2026DSE index returns went unavailable as NMB carried 89.8% of turnoverFriday, 28 August 2026Mobile access widened as the verified tape strengthened and bill yields fellThursday, 27 August 2026Swissport’s cash conversion strengthened while DSE index returns remained unavailableWednesday, 26 August 2026The DSE scale changed while the underlying equity tape remained activeTuesday, 25 August 2026The DSE indices eased as CRDB carried most verified turnoverMonday, 24 August 2026A split index tape, lighter Friday liquidity and stable FX set up the next evidence testsSunday, 23 August 2026The All-Share rose, the domestic tape slipped and liquidity thinned into FridaySaturday, 22 August 2026DSEI edged up as CRDB led the verified turnover poolFriday, 21 August 2026DSEI rose as NMB carried 59.2% of turnoverThursday, 20 August 2026Friday's wider advance still depended on three counters for 84.7% of turnoverMonday, 17 August 2026NMB mechanics and a long-bond auction turn last week's gains into tests of market depthSunday, 16 August 2026Both indices rose, but five-session turnover still depended on a few namesSaturday, 15 August 2026Both headline indices accelerated; NMB still carried 66.1% of turnoverFriday, 14 August 2026Both headline indices advanced; NMB still carried 72.5% of turnoverThursday, 13 August 2026Both headline indices fell; two banks still carried 87.6% of turnoverWednesday, 12 August 2026Inflation rose to 4.2%; transport remained the pressure pointTuesday, 11 August 2026An official curve arrives; market depth is the testMonday, 10 August 2026A narrow equity tape meets a dated rates test while credit evidence awaits confirmationSunday, 9 August 2026The indices eased, two banks carried the money, and private credit acceleratedSaturday, 8 August 2026Private credit accelerated to 28.1% as the equity tape split againFriday, 7 August 2026DSEI rose, TSI fell as NMB carried 67.2% of turnoverThursday, 6 August 2026Breadth balanced, but CRDB and NMB still carried 73.0% of turnoverWednesday, 5 August 2026The indices barely moved; CRDB and NMB supplied 94.3% of turnoverTuesday, 4 August 2026