Tanzania Share Index 9,331.91USD / TZS 2,645.24BoT rate 6.25%Inflation 4.2% Week to 2026-08-14 · verified close
Tanzania Intelligence

The Brief

Vol. I · No. 228
Sunday, 16 August 2026
Verified closeDSE · BoT · frozen to the covered session14 Aug 2026 verified close

A daily reading of Tanzania’s markets, capital and policy, with regional and global forces when they materially change the read. Information and education, never advice.

Week ahead; frozen at Sunday’s publication, framing the week to come off the 14 Aug 2026 verified close (the last verified session). Its figures are frozen to that close; for today’s live moves see Markets.


Weekly market scoreboard

2026-08-14 close · change ON THE WEEK · DSE · BoT · NBS
DSE All-Share
4,232.85
▲ +1.18%
DSEI · 14 Aug close · latest verified
Tanzania Share Index
9,331.91
▲ +1.77%
TSI · 14 Aug close · domestic board
USD / TZS
2,645.24
▲ +0.02%
BoT mean · hard-currency lens
BoT rate
6.25%
policy
CBR · policy anchor
91-day T-bill
3.49%
▲ +9bp
BoT WAR · vs prior auction
364-day T-bill
6.28%
▼ -29bp
BoT WAR · vs prior auction
Inflation
4.2%
latest print
NBS · monthly

The read: the Friday close, with the move across the whole week beside it; not the one-session change the daily Brief shows. The implication: the index level alone never says whether the week was broad or carried by a couple of names; breadth and turnover do.

DSE weekly tape check

DSE · 5 verified sessions to 2026-08-14
Sessions
5
verified DSE closes
Weekly turnover
TZS 30.0bn
sum of the week's value traded
Breadth
0 up / 0 down
0 unchanged · counters that moved across the week
Best session
+1.22%
2026-08-13
Worst session
-0.65%
2026-08-11
Peak concentration
76%
CRDB carried 2026-08-10
Concentration by session; the top name’s share of each session’s turnover
2026-08-10 · CRDB
76%
2026-08-11 · NMB
51%
2026-08-12 · NMB
73%
2026-08-13 · NMB
66%
2026-08-14 · NMB
49%

What the index hid: highly concentrated; the single heaviest name took 76% of one session’s turnover. A week can look active and still be carried by one counter. Each close, fully broken down; After the Bell →

The hurdle rate

Bank of Tanzania · WARs as at 2026-10-07
CBR · policy anchor
6.25%
91-day WAR · the front end
3.49%
182-day WAR
5.63%
364-day WAR · income anchor
6.28%

How to read this: short government paper is the opportunity cost of taking equity risk. Why it matters: the higher the front end sits, the more dividends, earnings growth and liquidity equities must deliver to clear it. Educational; not advice.

The transmission chain

How a weaker shilling reaches the shopping basket
The shilling
USD/TZS 2,632
▲ +0.02%
2026-10-14 · Bank of Tanzania
Fuel cap
Diesel TZS 4,086/l
▲ +5.39%
2026-10 · EWURA · monthly cap
Food
Maize TZS 74,500/t
flat
2026-08-24 · Wholesale · MIT
Cost of living
CPI 4.2%
latest print
July 2026 headline · NBS · monthly

How to read this: each link carries its own authority and its own lag; FX moves daily, fuel caps monthly, food weekly, CPI monthly. Why it matters: this is the chain that turns a currency move into a cost-of-living move. Descriptive, not predictive; the links are shown, not forecast.

KANZA CAPITAL PARTNERSThe Weekly Brief
The DSE week to 14 Aug
DSEI +1.18% · TSI +1.77% · USD/TZS +0.02% on the week
Read: Headline and domestic agreed.
Weekly moves computed from verified closes · 2026-08-14kanzacapitalpartners.com · education, not advice

The week card; built to be screenshotted and shared. Every figure is computed from the verified record.

The week in 90 seconds
  1. NMB mechanics and a long-bond auction turn last week's gains into tests of market depth
  2. Shared index gains need broader participation to become a stronger weekly signal
  3. The next tape must show whether TZS 30.05bn can distribute beyond one leading name
WatchDSE breadth and turnover distributionweek of 17 Aug 2026
Read the full Brief ↓

Did the domestic market and the headline index move together or apart over the covered quarter?

The domestic market against the headline index

Cumulative TSI return minus cumulative DSEI return · frozen at the 2026-08-14 covered session

-0.16 ppCurrent spread+1.89 ppHighest spread-1.69 ppLowest spread
Coverage 2026-05-18 → 2026-08-14 Vintage 2026-08-14 · final Revision current · v0
The domestic market against the headline index. Exact values underlying the chart.
DateRelationshipCumulative gap (pp)
2026-05-18Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0
2026-05-19Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.05
2026-05-20Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.17
2026-05-21Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.44
2026-05-22Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.48
2026-05-25Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.02
2026-05-26Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.19
2026-05-28Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.48
2026-05-29Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.39
2026-06-01Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.5
2026-06-02Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.84
2026-06-03Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.59
2026-06-04Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.7
2026-06-05Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.89
2026-06-08Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.73
2026-06-09Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.44
2026-06-10Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.06
2026-06-11Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.86
2026-06-12Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.54
2026-06-15Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.14
2026-06-16Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.29
2026-06-17Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.2
2026-06-18Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.3
2026-06-19Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.17
2026-06-22Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.21
2026-06-23Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.01
2026-06-24Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.1
2026-06-25Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.07
2026-06-26Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.63
2026-06-29Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.69
2026-06-30Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.42
2026-07-01Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.7
2026-07-02Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.91
2026-07-03Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.6
2026-07-06Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.44
2026-07-08Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.67
2026-07-09Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.65
2026-07-10Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.65
2026-07-13Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.67
2026-07-14Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.87
2026-07-15Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.7
2026-07-16Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.9
2026-07-17Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.8
2026-07-20Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.76
2026-07-21Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.6
2026-07-22Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.52
2026-07-23Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.41
2026-07-24Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.52
2026-07-27Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.52
2026-07-28Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.12
2026-07-29Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.03
2026-07-30Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.05
2026-07-31Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.02
2026-08-03Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.07
2026-08-04Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.19
2026-08-05Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.4
2026-08-06Cumulative TSI minus DSEIN/A
2026-08-07Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.74
2026-08-10Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.37
2026-08-11Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.13
2026-08-12Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.34
2026-08-13Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.41
2026-08-14Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.16

Read: Above zero means the domestic index led. Below zero means the all-share led. A flat line near zero means their paths were similar.

Index scope differs. The measure adds only sessions with comparable published returns and is not a portfolio return. The excluded session remains disclosed in the values table.

The week ahead

NMB mechanics and a long-bond auction turn last week's gains into tests of market depth

Signal

4,232.85 enters Monday after a 1.18% Friday-to-Friday rise and 9,331.91 a 1.77% gain; five verified sessions carried TZS 30.05bn of equity turnover.

Why it matters

Thirteen of 28 comparable counters rose, but one name absorbed 49% to 76% of turnover in every session. On 19 August, NMB reaches its last cum-split day as the Bank of Tanzania holds a 15-year bond auction.

What to watch

Whether value broadens before NMB's 20 to 21 August suspension, and what the official 19 August auction result shows about long-end price discovery.

Source: DSE · Bank of Tanzania · NMB Bank Plc · Edition 16 Aug 2026
Go deeper →
Breadth test

Shared index gains need broader participation to become a stronger weekly signal

Signal

4,232.85 rose 1.18% Friday-to-Friday and 9,331.91 1.77%; Banks gained 2.19%, Industrials 1.33% and Commercial Services 0.05%.

Why it matters

The domestic index outpaced the All-Share and every published sector index ended higher, but the evidence still describes one completed week rather than a forecast for the next.

What to watch

Confirmation: DSEI and TSI keep the same direction while more than 13 comparable counters advance. Weakening evidence: the indices diverge or participation narrows.

Source: DSE · Edition 16 Aug 2026 · Data verified · interpretation: Medium confidence
Go deeper →
Get the Weekly Brief every weekend.

A sourced review of the full Tanzania market week: the DSE tape and who actually carried it, rates, FX, policy, macro, companies; and what to watch next. Prefer the weekend digest to a daily note? Choose weekly only.

Choose Daily, Weekly, or both; they are separate subscriptions. Information and education only. No advice. No noise. Unsubscribe anytime.
Liquidity test

The next tape must show whether TZS 30.05bn can distribute beyond one leading name

Signal

Session turnover was TZS 9.75bn Monday, 3.96bn Tuesday, 4.83bn Wednesday, 4.26bn Thursday and 7.25bn Friday, totaling TZS 30.05bn.

Why it matters

CRDB led Monday and NMB led the other four sessions; the top name absorbed 49% to 76% of each session's value.

What to watch

Confirmation: meaningful turnover spreads across more counters. Weakening evidence: one name again takes most value, especially around NMB's scheduled interruption.

Source: DSE · Edition 16 Aug 2026 · Data verified · interpretation: Medium confidence
Go deeper →
Company dispersion

Wide counter moves need turnover confirmation, not extrapolation

Signal

Friday-to-Friday, 13 of 28 comparable counters rose, seven fell and eight were unchanged; PAL led gains at 11.29% and MCB declines at 13.83%.

Why it matters

A positive index week still contained wide company dispersion and several unchanged marks, so price direction and participation remain separate reads.

What to watch

Confirmation: the leading and lagging moves persist with observable turnover. Weakening evidence: extremes fade on thin or absent trading while breadth clusters near unchanged.

Source: DSE · Edition 16 Aug 2026 · Data verified · interpretation: Medium confidence
Go deeper →
Dated company catalyst

NMB's subdivision sequence is a market-mechanics test, not a value signal

Signal

The issuer notice sets 19 August as the last cum-split day, 20 to 21 August for trading suspension, and 24 August for the one-for-ten subdivision to become effective and trading to resume.

Why it matters

The subdivision changes the share count and unit price, not aggregate economic value; comparison across the event requires an adjusted basis.

What to watch

Confirmation: the announced sequence completes and liquidity resumes on the adjusted basis. Weakening evidence: timing changes or post-resumption activity remains concentrated.

Source: NMB Bank Plc issuer notice · Edition 16 Aug 2026 · Data as reported · interpretation: Medium confidence
Go deeper →
Dated rates catalyst

Wednesday's 15-year bond auction is the week's clean long-end test

Signal

The latest bill auction cleared at 2.1276% for 35 days, 3.4390% for 91 days, 5.1803% for 182 days and 6.7441% for 364 days; the official calendar places a 15-year bond reopening on 19 August.

Why it matters

The completed bill curve establishes the short-end context, while the bond auction supplies separate primary-market evidence at the long end.

What to watch

Confirmation or weakening comes only from the official auction terms and result. If publication is delayed, the checkpoint remains pending rather than inferred.

Source: Bank of Tanzania · Edition 16 Aug 2026 · Data verified · interpretation: Medium confidence
Go deeper →
External-price test

Next same-source prints test a near-flat shilling and a larger gold move

Signal

The BoT USD/TZS mean moved from 2,644.79 on 7 August to 2,645.24 on 14 August, a 0.02% rise; Mining Commission world gold moved from USD 4,283 to USD 4,397 per ounce, up 2.66%.

Why it matters

The same-date comparison separates an almost unchanged official exchange-rate mean from a larger move in the official local gold reference series.

What to watch

Confirmation: the next observations preserve the gap on their own source clocks. Weakening evidence: the gap closes; either way, providers and vintages remain separate.

Source: Bank of Tanzania and Mining Commission · Edition 16 Aug 2026 · Data verified · interpretation: Medium confidence
Go deeper →
The Ghost

The model book

The Ghost's hypothetical TZS 500m model ledger enters the week at +9.21% since inception at its 14 Aug mark. The observable tests are market breadth, value distribution, the 19 August rates print and NMB's dated mechanics; not trading signals.

Ghost relevance: how today’s rates, FX, gold and inflation read against a hypothetical model-book; educational, not advice.

Open the Ghost tracker → The terrain it reads →

Companies of the week

DSE · weekly move & tape weight to 2026-08-14 · covered names

How these were chosen: not hand-picked; the name that carried the tape, the week’s biggest gain and steepest fall, then the heaviest remaining names. Educational context only; not a recommendation, and never a price target.

How the week changed the terrain

The Ghost · hypothetical model book · educational

The Ghost does not move because a week moved; it updates the model-book risk map. Where the book stands → · The terrain it reads →

Week ahead; what to watch
WhenEventWhy it matters
week of 17 Aug 2026DSE breadth and turnover distributionThirteen of 28 comparable counters rose, but the leading name absorbed 49% to 76% of every session's turnover; the next closes test whether value broadens.
19 to 24 Aug 2026NMB one-for-ten share subdivision19 August is the last cum-split date, trading is scheduled to pause on 20 to 21 August and subdivided shares are due to resume on 24 August; comparisons require the adjusted basis.
19 Aug 2026BoT 15-year Treasury-bond auctionThe official calendar provides the week's dated long-end price-discovery checkpoint; only the published terms and result complete the test.
26 Aug 2026Next BoT Treasury-bill auctionAuction No. 1204 put the curve from 2.1276% at 35 days to 6.7441% at 364 days; the next result tests the short end on the same official basis.
next same-source dated printsOfficial FX and gold observationsUSD/TZS was almost unchanged Friday-to-Friday while the local world-gold reference rose 2.66%; each series requires its own next observation.
Get the Weekly Brief every weekend.

A sourced review of the full Tanzania market week: the DSE tape and who actually carried it, rates, FX, policy, macro, companies; and what to watch next. Prefer the weekend digest to a daily note? Choose weekly only.

Choose Daily, Weekly, or both; they are separate subscriptions. Information and education only. No advice. No noise. Unsubscribe anytime.

Week-ahead edition under Convention W; a forward framing of Monday 17 through Friday 21 August 2026, frozen to the verified Friday close (14 August 2026). Equity, index, breadth and turnover figures reconcile to DSE authority files; TZS 30.05bn is the exact sum of five verified sessions from 10 to 14 August. Bank of Tanzania is the authority for FX, the CBR and government-securities dates and results; Mining Commission is the authority for the cited gold series; NMB dates use the reviewed issuer notice. The 24 August NMB resumption falls after the framed week and is shown only to complete the issuer's verified sequence. The Wire hand-off was read first; it contained no primary-grade candidate, so no unverified Wire claim was promoted. No foreign-flow split is inferred, no event outcome is predicted and undated checkpoints remain explicitly undated. Information and education only; not investment advice, a recommendation, a trade instruction or a price target. For live levels, see Markets.

Archive; past editions59
Share-price measures fell; trading stayed concentratedWednesday, 14 October 2026Indices rose, with trading concentrated in two banksTuesday, 13 October 2026Share prices rose, but the gains were unevenMonday, 12 October 2026Friday’s rise left share prices lower for the weekSaturday, 10 October 2026Share-price measures fell on a quieter trading dayFriday, 9 October 2026Share-price measures fell as more money changed handsThursday, 8 October 2026Share-price measures rose as less money changed handsWednesday, 7 October 2026Share-price measures fell while trading value barely changedTuesday, 6 October 2026More money traded in shares as both price indices fellMonday, 5 October 2026Domestic shares fell faster than the wider marketSaturday, 3 October 2026Share trading slowed as both price indices fellFriday, 2 October 2026Share trading rose as both price indices edged higherThursday, 1 October 2026More money traded in shares while both indices fellWednesday, 30 September 2026Both share indices fell as trading value roseTuesday, 29 September 2026Share prices rose, but two banks carried most trading valueMonday, 28 September 2026Can the share-price rise hold across more of the market?Sunday, 27 September 2026Domestic shares rose faster than the wider marketSaturday, 26 September 2026Share indices rose, while two banks carried most trading valueFriday, 25 September 2026Share-price measures fell; two banks carried most trading moneyThursday, 24 September 2026Shares rose, but one bank carried most trading valueWednesday, 23 September 2026Share prices rose, and more traded companies advanced than declinedTuesday, 22 September 2026Share indices fell, with most trading in two banksMonday, 21 September 2026Wednesday tests borrowing costs after a weaker share-trading weekSunday, 20 September 2026Shares fell as less money changed handsSaturday, 19 September 2026Share indices fell as NMB dominated tradingFriday, 18 September 2026Both indices fell as trading stayed narrowThursday, 17 September 2026Indices split, trading stayed concentratedWednesday, 16 September 2026Indices rose, trading stayed narrowTuesday, 15 September 2026Friday gains, concentrated tradingMonday, 14 September 2026Will trading value catch up with rising indices?Sunday, 13 September 2026Share indices rose as less money changed handsSaturday, 12 September 2026Both main indices rose as two banks carried most tradingFriday, 11 September 2026Both main indices rose as equity turnover fell by halfThursday, 10 September 2026The broad index fell while domestic shares edged higherWednesday, 9 September 2026Both main indices rose again, while two banks carried most trading valueTuesday, 8 September 2026Both main indices rose, but two banks still carried most trading valueMonday, 7 September 2026Index direction, trading breadth and Wednesday's bill auction set the next testsSunday, 6 September 2026The broad market rose while Tanzania-listed shares ended lowerSaturday, 5 September 2026CRDB supplied more than three quarters of Thursday's equity turnoverFriday, 4 September 2026Wednesday's DSE close combined a higher DSEI with a lower TSIThursday, 3 September 2026Tuesday's indices weakened while NMB carried most trading valueWednesday, 2 September 2026Monday eased while one bank carried most trading valueTuesday, 1 September 2026Friday rose, but one bank still carried most trading valueMonday, 31 August 2026Comparability, liquidity breadth and Wednesday's bond auction set the next evidence testsSunday, 30 August 2026Index returns stayed unavailable as Friday liquidity remained concentratedSaturday, 29 August 2026DSE index returns went unavailable as NMB carried 89.8% of turnoverFriday, 28 August 2026Mobile access widened as the verified tape strengthened and bill yields fellThursday, 27 August 2026Swissport’s cash conversion strengthened while DSE index returns remained unavailableWednesday, 26 August 2026The DSE scale changed while the underlying equity tape remained activeTuesday, 25 August 2026The DSE indices eased as CRDB carried most verified turnoverMonday, 24 August 2026A split index tape, lighter Friday liquidity and stable FX set up the next evidence testsSunday, 23 August 2026The All-Share rose, the domestic tape slipped and liquidity thinned into FridaySaturday, 22 August 2026DSEI edged up as CRDB led the verified turnover poolFriday, 21 August 2026DSEI rose as NMB carried 59.2% of turnoverThursday, 20 August 2026Friday's wider advance still depended on three counters for 84.7% of turnoverMonday, 17 August 2026Both indices rose, but five-session turnover still depended on a few namesSaturday, 15 August 2026Both headline indices accelerated; NMB still carried 66.1% of turnoverFriday, 14 August 2026Both headline indices advanced; NMB still carried 72.5% of turnoverThursday, 13 August 2026Both headline indices fell; two banks still carried 87.6% of turnoverWednesday, 12 August 2026