A daily reading of Tanzania’s markets, capital and policy, with regional and global forces when they materially change the read. Information and education, never advice.
The Brief is written the morning after the market closes. This edition analyses Friday, 14 August 2026; the most recent verified session. Its figures are frozen to that close; for today’s live moves see Markets.
Did the domestic market and the headline index move together or apart over the covered quarter?
Cumulative TSI return minus cumulative DSEI return · frozen at the 2026-08-14 covered session
Only declared transformations and compatible comparisons are enabled. The exact state is retained in the URL.
Reuse package · edition 2026-08-14-128649dc6740
| Date | Relationship | Cumulative gap (pp) |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | 0.05 |
| 2026-05-20 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | 0.17 |
| 2026-05-21 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | 0.44 |
| 2026-05-22 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | 0.48 |
| 2026-05-25 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | 1.02 |
| 2026-05-26 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | 1.19 |
| 2026-05-28 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | 1.48 |
| 2026-05-29 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | 1.39 |
| 2026-06-01 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | 1.5 |
| 2026-06-02 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | 1.84 |
| 2026-06-03 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | 1.59 |
| 2026-06-04 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | 1.7 |
| 2026-06-05 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | 1.89 |
| 2026-06-08 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | 1.73 |
| 2026-06-09 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | 1.44 |
| 2026-06-10 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | 1.06 |
| 2026-06-11 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | 0.86 |
| 2026-06-12 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | 0.54 |
| 2026-06-15 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | 0.14 |
| 2026-06-16 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | 0.29 |
| 2026-06-17 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | 0.2 |
| 2026-06-18 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -0.3 |
| 2026-06-19 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -0.17 |
| 2026-06-22 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | 0.21 |
| 2026-06-23 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | 0.01 |
| 2026-06-24 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -0.1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -1.07 |
| 2026-06-26 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -1.63 |
| 2026-06-29 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -1.69 |
| 2026-06-30 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -1.42 |
| 2026-07-01 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -0.7 |
| 2026-07-02 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -0.91 |
| 2026-07-03 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -0.6 |
| 2026-07-06 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -0.44 |
| 2026-07-08 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -0.67 |
| 2026-07-09 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -0.65 |
| 2026-07-10 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -0.65 |
| 2026-07-13 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -0.67 |
| 2026-07-14 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -0.87 |
| 2026-07-15 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -0.7 |
| 2026-07-16 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -0.9 |
| 2026-07-17 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -0.8 |
| 2026-07-20 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -0.76 |
| 2026-07-21 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -0.6 |
| 2026-07-22 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -0.52 |
| 2026-07-23 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -0.41 |
| 2026-07-24 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -1.52 |
| 2026-07-27 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -0.52 |
| 2026-07-28 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -0.12 |
| 2026-07-29 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -0.03 |
| 2026-07-30 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -0.05 |
| 2026-07-31 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | 0.02 |
| 2026-08-03 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -0.07 |
| 2026-08-04 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -0.19 |
| 2026-08-05 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -0.4 |
| 2026-08-06 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | N/A |
| 2026-08-07 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -0.74 |
| 2026-08-10 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -0.37 |
| 2026-08-11 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -0.13 |
| 2026-08-12 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -0.34 |
| 2026-08-13 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -0.41 |
| 2026-08-14 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -0.16 |
2026-08-14-128649dc6740 · revision log →dse-daily-market-indicescumulative-excess-return; cumulative sum(TSI session return minus DSEI session return)Read: Above zero means the domestic index led. Below zero means the all-share led. A flat line near zero means their paths were similar.
Index scope differs. The measure adds only sessions with comparable published returns and is not a portfolio return. The excluded session remains disclosed in the values table.
Descriptive flags from the verified DSE close; not signals, predictions, or advice. The official close, fully broken down; After the Bell →
4,232.85 rose 0.10% and 9,331.91 0.35%; ten counters advanced against seven decliners.
NMB, TPCC and CRDB supplied 84.7% of TZS 7.247bn equity turnover.
The 17 August close tests whether value broadens before NMB's subdivision timetable begins.
4,232.85 rose 0.10% and 9,331.91 0.35%; NMB, TPCC and CRDB supplied 84.7% of turnover.
Ten counters advanced against seven decliners, but all other counters shared 15.3% of traded value.
The 17 August close tests whether a wider set of counters attracts value.
A free daily Tanzania market-intelligence note covering DSE moves, rates, FX, policy, macro signals and what to watch next.
The Ministry records all nine 2,115 MW units complete; formal inauguration is reported for 22 August.
Completed capacity is not yet evidence of dispatch, transmission or productive demand.
Post-inauguration dispatch and transmission data remain undated checkpoints.
Weighted-average yields ran from 2.1276% at 35 days to 6.7441% at 364 days.
Each tenor is an official auction observation; the curve alone does not establish a policy shift.
The 19 August 15-year reopening is the next dated government-securities test.
In the year to June, gold exports grew 36.4% and total goods and services exports 17.2%.
The same report records US$5.6735bn of reserves and 4.4 months of projected import cover.
The next MER release is not yet dated; no June observation is rolled forward.
The Ghost's hypothetical model ledger is +9.21% since inception at its 14 Aug mark. Turnover distribution, the bill curve and dated implementation tests update the observable terrain, not trades.
Ghost relevance: how today’s rates, FX, gold and inflation read against a hypothetical model-book; educational, not advice.
Open the Ghost tracker → The terrain it reads →| When | Event | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| after the 17 Aug session | DSE breadth and turnover distribution | Friday's positive breadth still left 84.7% of equity turnover in three counters. |
| 17 Aug 2026, when published | SADC summit communiqué | The official summit theme is an agenda; implementation language remains the evidence test. |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Bank of Tanzania 15-year bond reopening | The official issuance calendar identifies the reopening; its result remains separate from the bill curve. |
| 19 to 24 Aug 2026 | NMB share-subdivision sequence | The retained issuer notice separates the last cum-split day, suspension and adjusted resumption. |
| 22 Aug 2026, as reported | JNHPP formal inauguration | The next test is operating evidence after the ceremony, not the capacity headline alone. |
A free daily Tanzania market-intelligence note covering DSE moves, rates, FX, policy, macro signals and what to watch next.
Information and education only. Not investment advice, a forecast or a recommendation. Market figures reconcile to the verified 14 August 2026 DSE close; other observations retain their own source dates.