A daily reading of Tanzania’s markets, capital and policy, with regional and global forces when they materially change the read. Information and education, never advice.
The Brief is written the morning after the market closes. This edition analyses Wednesday, 2 September 2026; the most recent verified session. Its figures are frozen to that close; for today’s live moves see Markets.
Did the domestic market and the headline index move together or apart over the covered quarter?
Cumulative TSI return minus cumulative DSEI return · frozen at the 2026-09-02 covered session
Only declared transformations and compatible comparisons are enabled. The exact state is retained in the URL.
Reuse package · edition 2026-09-02-3287a6391fde
| Date | Relationship | Cumulative gap (pp) |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -0.16 |
| 2026-06-09 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -0.45 |
| 2026-06-10 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -0.83 |
| 2026-06-11 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -1.03 |
| 2026-06-12 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -1.35 |
| 2026-06-15 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -1.75 |
| 2026-06-16 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -1.59 |
| 2026-06-17 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -1.68 |
| 2026-06-18 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.18 |
| 2026-06-19 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.06 |
| 2026-06-22 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -1.68 |
| 2026-06-23 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -1.88 |
| 2026-06-24 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -1.98 |
| 2026-06-25 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.96 |
| 2026-06-26 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -3.52 |
| 2026-06-29 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -3.58 |
| 2026-06-30 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -3.31 |
| 2026-07-01 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.59 |
| 2026-07-02 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.79 |
| 2026-07-03 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.49 |
| 2026-07-06 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.33 |
| 2026-07-08 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.56 |
| 2026-07-09 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.54 |
| 2026-07-10 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.53 |
| 2026-07-13 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-14 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.75 |
| 2026-07-15 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.59 |
| 2026-07-16 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.79 |
| 2026-07-17 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.68 |
| 2026-07-20 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-21 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.49 |
| 2026-07-22 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.4 |
| 2026-07-23 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.3 |
| 2026-07-24 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -3.4 |
| 2026-07-27 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.41 |
| 2026-07-28 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.01 |
| 2026-07-29 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -1.92 |
| 2026-07-30 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -1.94 |
| 2026-07-31 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -1.87 |
| 2026-08-03 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -1.95 |
| 2026-08-04 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.07 |
| 2026-08-05 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.29 |
| 2026-08-06 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | N/A |
| 2026-08-07 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.63 |
| 2026-08-10 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.25 |
| 2026-08-11 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.02 |
| 2026-08-12 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.22 |
| 2026-08-13 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.3 |
| 2026-08-14 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.05 |
| 2026-08-17 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.24 |
| 2026-08-18 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.35 |
| 2026-08-19 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.63 |
| 2026-08-20 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.5 |
| 2026-08-21 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.57 |
| 2026-08-24 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.19 |
| 2026-08-26 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -1.67 |
| 2026-08-27 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | N/A |
| 2026-08-28 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -1.02 |
| 2026-08-31 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | N/A |
| 2026-09-01 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -1.42 |
| 2026-09-02 | Cumulative TSI minus DSEI | -2.47 |
2026-09-02-3287a6391fde · revision log →dse-daily-market-indicescumulative-excess-return; cumulative sum(TSI session return minus DSEI session return)Read: Above zero means the domestic index led. Below zero means the all-share led. A flat line near zero means their paths were similar.
Index scope differs. The measure adds only sessions with comparable published returns and is not a portfolio return. The excluded session remains disclosed in the values table.
Descriptive flags from the verified DSE close; not signals, predictions, or advice. The official close, fully broken down; After the Bell →
4,415.49 rose 0.44%, while 9,699.66 fell 0.60%. Eleven of 20 traded counters rose.
The index split did not describe the whole board. NMB and CRDB carried 85.6% of share trading value.
The next verified close tests whether the two indices and the number of rising counters move together.
DSEI rose 0.44% and TSI fell 0.60% from 1 September to 2 September.
The two indices moved in different directions, while 11 of 20 traded counters rose.
The next verified close tests whether the two index directions converge.
A free daily Tanzania market-intelligence note covering DSE moves, rates, FX, policy, macro signals and what to watch next.
NMB and CRDB supplied TZS 3.432bn of the verified TZS 4.008bn equity turnover.
Twenty counters traded, but most money passed through two banks. The total did not show broad liquidity.
The next verified close tests whether trading value spreads beyond NMB and CRDB.
Qatar expressed interest in Tanzania's port sector. Tanzania and Qatar announced a joint task force.
No amount, port asset, financing structure or timetable was disclosed. This is not committed capital.
A named asset, investment amount and financing terms would turn interest into a measurable proposal.
The BoT mean rose from 2,638.2146 on 2 September to 2,639.8663 on 3 September.
The latest mean remained inside the recent 30-observation range. One daily move does not establish a trend.
The next dated BoT sheet tests whether the mean remains inside its recent range.
The Ghost hypothetical model ledger is +12.25% since inception at its 2 September mark. Wednesday's NMB close affected the model record, while returns across the earlier index basis break remain unavailable.
Ghost relevance: how today’s rates, FX, gold and inflation read against a hypothetical model-book; educational, not advice.
Open the Ghost tracker → The terrain it reads →| When | Event | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| After official DSE publication | Next verified DSE close | Tests whether the two index directions and the number of rising counters move together. |
| At scope and financing disclosure | Port task force | A named asset, amount, ownership structure and timetable would show whether interest becomes a proposal. |
| At Finance review and ministerial signature | Fishing-fee rules | The signed rules and exact fee schedule are needed before KCP can quantify cost relief. |
| At the next dated BoT sheet | USD/TZS mean | Tests whether the official mean remains inside its recent range. |
A free daily Tanzania market-intelligence note covering DSE moves, rates, FX, policy, macro signals and what to watch next.
Information and education only, not advice or a forecast. Market figures cover the DSE verified close of 2 Sep 2026. Other observations retain their own source dates.