Tanzania Share Index 10,166.24USD / TZS 2,641.20BoT rate 6.25% Week to 2026-09-18 · verified close
Tanzania Intelligence

The Brief

Vol. I · No. 261
Sunday, 20 September 2026
Verified closeDSE · BoT · frozen to the covered session18 Sep 2026 verified close

A daily reading of Tanzania’s markets, capital and policy, with regional and global forces when they materially change the read. Information and education, never advice.

Week ahead; frozen at Sunday’s publication, framing the week to come off the 18 Sep 2026 verified close (the last verified session). Its figures are frozen to that close; for today’s live moves see Markets.


Weekly market scoreboard

2026-09-18 close · change ON THE WEEK · DSE · BoT · NBS
DSE All-Share
4,602.26
▼ -1.20%
DSEI · 18 Sep close
Tanzania Share Index
10,166.24
▼ -2.25%
TSI · 18 Sep close
USD / TZS
2,641.20
▲ +0.13%
BoT mean · hard-currency lens
BoT rate
6.25%
policy
CBR · policy anchor
91-day T-bill
3.49%
▲ +2bp
BoT WAR · vs prior auction
364-day T-bill
6.28%
▼ -18bp
BoT WAR · vs prior auction

The read: the Friday close, with the move across the whole week beside it; not the one-session change the daily Brief shows. The implication: the index level alone never says whether the week was broad or carried by a couple of names; breadth and turnover do.

DSE weekly tape check

DSE · 5 verified sessions to 2026-09-18
Sessions
5
verified DSE closes
Weekly turnover
TZS 53.1bn
sum of the week's value traded
Breadth
0 up / 0 down
0 unchanged · counters that moved across the week
Best session
+0.68%
2026-09-14
Worst session
-0.70%
2026-09-16
Peak concentration
91%
NMB carried 2026-09-17
Concentration by session; the top name’s share of each session’s turnover
2026-09-14 · NMB
53%
2026-09-15 · NMB
76%
2026-09-16 · NMB
34%
2026-09-17 · NMB
91%
2026-09-18 · CRDB
55%

What the index hid: highly concentrated; the single heaviest name took 91% of one session’s turnover. A week can look active and still be carried by one counter. Each close, fully broken down; After the Bell →

The hurdle rate

Bank of Tanzania · WARs as at 2026-10-07
CBR · policy anchor
6.25%
91-day WAR · the front end
3.49%
182-day WAR
5.63%
364-day WAR · income anchor
6.28%

How to read this: short government paper is the opportunity cost of taking equity risk. Why it matters: the higher the front end sits, the more dividends, earnings growth and liquidity equities must deliver to clear it. Educational; not advice.

The transmission chain

How a weaker shilling reaches the shopping basket
The shilling
USD/TZS 2,632
▲ +0.13%
2026-10-14 · Bank of Tanzania
Fuel cap
Diesel TZS 4,086/l
▲ +5.39%
2026-10 · EWURA · monthly cap
Food
Maize TZS 74,500/t
flat
2026-08-24 · Wholesale · MIT

How to read this: each link carries its own authority and its own lag; FX moves daily, fuel caps monthly, food weekly, CPI monthly. Why it matters: this is the chain that turns a currency move into a cost-of-living move. Descriptive, not predictive; the links are shown, not forecast.

KANZA CAPITAL PARTNERSThe Weekly Brief
The DSE week to 18 Sep
DSEI -1.20% · TSI -2.25% · USD/TZS +0.13% on the week
Read: Headline and domestic agreed.
Weekly moves computed from verified closes · 2026-09-18kanzacapitalpartners.com · education, not advice

The week card; built to be screenshotted and shared. Every figure is computed from the verified record.

The week in 90 seconds
  1. Wednesday tests borrowing costs after a weaker share-trading week
  2. What will Wednesday reveal about borrowing costs?
  3. Can the next price move extend beyond a few sectors?
WatchTreasury-bill auction23 September, scheduled by Bank of Tanzania
Read the full Brief ↓

Did the domestic market and the headline index move together or apart over the covered quarter?

The domestic market against the headline index

Cumulative TSI return minus cumulative DSEI return · frozen at the 2026-09-18 covered session

-0.19 ppCurrent spread+1.00 ppHighest spread-1.91 ppLowest spread
Coverage 2026-06-22 → 2026-09-18 Vintage 2026-09-18 · final Revision current · v0
The domestic market against the headline index. Exact values underlying the chart.
DateRelationshipCumulative gap (pp)
2026-06-22Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0
2026-06-23Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.21
2026-06-24Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.31
2026-06-25Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.28
2026-06-26Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.84
2026-06-29Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.9
2026-06-30Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.63
2026-07-01Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.91
2026-07-02Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.12
2026-07-03Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.82
2026-07-06Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.65
2026-07-08Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.88
2026-07-09Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.87
2026-07-10Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.86
2026-07-13Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.88
2026-07-14Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.08
2026-07-15Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.91
2026-07-16Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.11
2026-07-17Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.01
2026-07-20Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.98
2026-07-21Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.81
2026-07-22Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.73
2026-07-23Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.62
2026-07-24Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.73
2026-07-27Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.73
2026-07-28Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.33
2026-07-29Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.24
2026-07-30Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.26
2026-07-31Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.19
2026-08-03Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.28
2026-08-04Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.4
2026-08-05Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.61
2026-08-06Cumulative TSI minus DSEIN/A
2026-08-07Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.95
2026-08-10Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.58
2026-08-11Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.34
2026-08-12Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.55
2026-08-13Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.62
2026-08-14Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.37
2026-08-17Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.57
2026-08-18Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.68
2026-08-19Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.95
2026-08-20Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.82
2026-08-21Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.89
2026-08-24Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.51
2026-08-26Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0
2026-08-27Cumulative TSI minus DSEIN/A
2026-08-28Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.65
2026-08-31Cumulative TSI minus DSEIN/A
2026-09-01Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.25
2026-09-02Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.79
2026-09-03Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.88
2026-09-04Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.91
2026-09-07Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.49
2026-09-08Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.07
2026-09-09Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.12
2026-09-10Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1
2026-09-11Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.87
2026-09-14Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.63
2026-09-15Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.42
2026-09-16Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.57
2026-09-17Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.3
2026-09-18Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.19

Read: Above zero means the domestic index led. Below zero means the all-share led. A flat line near zero means their paths were similar.

Index scope differs. The measure adds only sessions with comparable published returns and is not a portfolio return. The excluded session remains disclosed in the values table.

The week ahead

Wednesday tests borrowing costs after a weaker share-trading week

Signal

Government borrowing costs face a test on Wednesday. Share trading enters the week after prices and activity fell.

Why it matters

Friday's Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange close: all-share DSEI 4,602.26; domestic-company TSI 10,166.24. Indexes summarise share prices.

What to watch

The 23 September bill auction, the next full trading week and a dated railway follow-up are separate tests.

Source: Bank of Tanzania (BoT), 1 July issuance calendar; Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange (DSE), verified 18 September close · Edition 20 Sep 2026
Go deeper →
Government borrowing

What will Wednesday reveal about borrowing costs?

Signal

The government plans to borrow short-term on 23 September. The last 364-day bill yield was 6.47%, on 9 September.

Why it matters

Yield is annual return implied by price. A new auction reprices government borrowing; it does not promise savers that return after costs.

What to watch

Official results at each maturity will show whether yields rose or fell. The calendar remains subject to amendment.

Source: Bank of Tanzania, auction 1206 on 9 September; calendar published 1 July. Chart yields rounded to two decimals. · Edition 20 Sep 2026 · Data verified · interpretation: Medium confidence
Go deeper →
Get the Weekly Brief every weekend.

A sourced review of the full Tanzania market week: the DSE tape and who actually carried it, rates, FX, policy, macro, companies; and what to watch next. Prefer the weekend digest to a daily note? Choose weekly only.

Choose Daily, Weekly, or both; they are separate subscriptions. Information and education only. No advice. No noise. Unsubscribe anytime.
Share prices

Can the next price move extend beyond a few sectors?

Signal

Domestic-company share prices fell more than the wider market. Their index lost 2.25%, versus 1.20%, from 11 to 18 September.

Why it matters

Banks and finance fell 4.32%; services rose 9.22%. A broad index hides these differences and says nothing about investor motives.

What to watch

The next full week can show whether sectors move together. A headline rise alone would not establish broad participation.

Source: DSE official index endpoints, 11 and 18 September. Change = last / first minus one; percentages rounded in prose. · Edition 20 Sep 2026 · Data verified · interpretation: Medium confidence
Go deeper →
Trading activity

Will more money change hands across the market?

Signal

Less money changed hands in shares last week. Trading totalled 53.054 billion shillings, down 13.12% from the previous week.

Why it matters

Trading value, or turnover, counts completed exchanges. It is not new capital raised, and a larger total need not involve more companies.

What to watch

Compare the next five verified sessions with 14 to 18 September, then check how trading spreads across companies.

Source: DSE Daily Market Reports, 7 to 18 September. Daily equity totals summed in TZS million, divided by 1,000; prose rounds to three decimals. · Edition 20 Sep 2026 · Data verified · interpretation: Medium confidence
Go deeper →
Opportunity Wire

Rail land preparation needs a dated next step

Signal

Tanzania's railway agency reports land acquisition for Tabora to Kigoma. Its 19 September update names no new funding.

Why it matters

Land clearance enables construction access. The update discloses neither a compensation budget nor a completion date.

What to watch

A dated compensation or construction update would clarify progress. No follow-up date is announced.

Source: trc.co.tz · Edition 20 Sep 2026 · Data as reported · interpretation: Medium confidence
Go deeper →
The Ghost

The model book

Hypothetical Ghost: +17.06% since inception, marked 18 September. Contributions are separate from performance; not a real portfolio.

Ghost relevance: how today’s rates, FX, gold and inflation read against a hypothetical model-book; educational, not advice.

Open the Ghost tracker → The terrain it reads →

Companies of the week

DSE · weekly move & tape weight to 2026-09-18 · covered names

How these were chosen: not hand-picked; the name that carried the tape, the week’s biggest gain and steepest fall, then the heaviest remaining names. Educational context only; not a recommendation, and never a price target.

Week ahead; what to watch
WhenEventWhy it matters
23 September, scheduled by Bank of TanzaniaTreasury-bill auctionResults compare borrowing costs at matching maturities. The calendar may be amended; outcomes are unknown.
21 to 25 September, normal trading-week windowShare prices and trading valueA complete verified week can distinguish a price move from wider trading. No future close is assumed.
Next dated official observation; date not announcedBank of Tanzania currency sheetA higher shilling quote per US dollar means more shillings for that dollar. Customer rates and fees differ.
Next TRC disclosure; date not announcedTabora to Kigoma land preparationA budget or completion timetable would clarify the reported progress. The existing update supplies neither.
Get the Weekly Brief every weekend.

A sourced review of the full Tanzania market week: the DSE tape and who actually carried it, rates, FX, policy, macro, companies; and what to watch next. Prefer the weekend digest to a daily note? Choose weekly only.

Choose Daily, Weekly, or both; they are separate subscriptions. Information and education only. No advice. No noise. Unsubscribe anytime.

Information and education, not advice or a solicitation. Verified close (18 Sep 2026). Weekly index endpoints: 11 and 18 September; equity trading: 14 to 18 September. FX strip: provisional BoT sheet, 20 September, rounded to two decimals. Future events may change; no outcomes are forecast. Live updates: Markets.

Archive; past editions59
Share-price measures fell; trading stayed concentratedWednesday, 14 October 2026Indices rose, with trading concentrated in two banksTuesday, 13 October 2026Share prices rose, but the gains were unevenMonday, 12 October 2026Friday’s rise left share prices lower for the weekSaturday, 10 October 2026Share-price measures fell on a quieter trading dayFriday, 9 October 2026Share-price measures fell as more money changed handsThursday, 8 October 2026Share-price measures rose as less money changed handsWednesday, 7 October 2026Share-price measures fell while trading value barely changedTuesday, 6 October 2026More money traded in shares as both price indices fellMonday, 5 October 2026Domestic shares fell faster than the wider marketSaturday, 3 October 2026Share trading slowed as both price indices fellFriday, 2 October 2026Share trading rose as both price indices edged higherThursday, 1 October 2026More money traded in shares while both indices fellWednesday, 30 September 2026Both share indices fell as trading value roseTuesday, 29 September 2026Share prices rose, but two banks carried most trading valueMonday, 28 September 2026Can the share-price rise hold across more of the market?Sunday, 27 September 2026Domestic shares rose faster than the wider marketSaturday, 26 September 2026Share indices rose, while two banks carried most trading valueFriday, 25 September 2026Share-price measures fell; two banks carried most trading moneyThursday, 24 September 2026Shares rose, but one bank carried most trading valueWednesday, 23 September 2026Share prices rose, and more traded companies advanced than declinedTuesday, 22 September 2026Share indices fell, with most trading in two banksMonday, 21 September 2026Shares fell as less money changed handsSaturday, 19 September 2026Share indices fell as NMB dominated tradingFriday, 18 September 2026Both indices fell as trading stayed narrowThursday, 17 September 2026Indices split, trading stayed concentratedWednesday, 16 September 2026Indices rose, trading stayed narrowTuesday, 15 September 2026Friday gains, concentrated tradingMonday, 14 September 2026Will trading value catch up with rising indices?Sunday, 13 September 2026Share indices rose as less money changed handsSaturday, 12 September 2026Both main indices rose as two banks carried most tradingFriday, 11 September 2026Both main indices rose as equity turnover fell by halfThursday, 10 September 2026The broad index fell while domestic shares edged higherWednesday, 9 September 2026Both main indices rose again, while two banks carried most trading valueTuesday, 8 September 2026Both main indices rose, but two banks still carried most trading valueMonday, 7 September 2026Index direction, trading breadth and Wednesday's bill auction set the next testsSunday, 6 September 2026The broad market rose while Tanzania-listed shares ended lowerSaturday, 5 September 2026CRDB supplied more than three quarters of Thursday's equity turnoverFriday, 4 September 2026Wednesday's DSE close combined a higher DSEI with a lower TSIThursday, 3 September 2026Tuesday's indices weakened while NMB carried most trading valueWednesday, 2 September 2026Monday eased while one bank carried most trading valueTuesday, 1 September 2026Friday rose, but one bank still carried most trading valueMonday, 31 August 2026Comparability, liquidity breadth and Wednesday's bond auction set the next evidence testsSunday, 30 August 2026Index returns stayed unavailable as Friday liquidity remained concentratedSaturday, 29 August 2026DSE index returns went unavailable as NMB carried 89.8% of turnoverFriday, 28 August 2026Mobile access widened as the verified tape strengthened and bill yields fellThursday, 27 August 2026Swissport’s cash conversion strengthened while DSE index returns remained unavailableWednesday, 26 August 2026The DSE scale changed while the underlying equity tape remained activeTuesday, 25 August 2026The DSE indices eased as CRDB carried most verified turnoverMonday, 24 August 2026A split index tape, lighter Friday liquidity and stable FX set up the next evidence testsSunday, 23 August 2026The All-Share rose, the domestic tape slipped and liquidity thinned into FridaySaturday, 22 August 2026DSEI edged up as CRDB led the verified turnover poolFriday, 21 August 2026DSEI rose as NMB carried 59.2% of turnoverThursday, 20 August 2026Friday's wider advance still depended on three counters for 84.7% of turnoverMonday, 17 August 2026NMB mechanics and a long-bond auction turn last week's gains into tests of market depthSunday, 16 August 2026Both indices rose, but five-session turnover still depended on a few namesSaturday, 15 August 2026Both headline indices accelerated; NMB still carried 66.1% of turnoverFriday, 14 August 2026Both headline indices advanced; NMB still carried 72.5% of turnoverThursday, 13 August 2026Both headline indices fell; two banks still carried 87.6% of turnoverWednesday, 12 August 2026