Tanzania Share Index 10,166.24USD / TZS 2,641.20BoT rate 6.25%Inflation 4.3% Week to 2026-09-18 · verified close
Tanzania Intelligence

The Brief

Vol. I · No. 260
Saturday, 19 September 2026
Verified closeDSE · BoT · frozen to the covered session18 Sep 2026 verified close

A daily reading of Tanzania’s markets, capital and policy, with regional and global forces when they materially change the read. Information and education, never advice.

Weekly overview; the week in review, frozen at Saturday’s publication and covering the 18 Sep 2026 verified close (the week’s last verified session). Its figures are frozen to that close; for today’s live moves see Markets.


Weekly market scoreboard

2026-09-18 close · change ON THE WEEK · DSE · BoT · NBS
DSE All-Share
4,602.26
▼ -1.20%
DSEI · 18 Sep close · daily move
Tanzania Share Index
10,166.24
▼ -2.25%
TSI · 18 Sep close · daily move
USD / TZS
2,641.20
▲ +0.13%
BoT mean · hard-currency lens
BoT rate
6.25%
policy
CBR · policy anchor
91-day T-bill
3.49%
▲ +2bp
BoT WAR · vs prior auction
364-day T-bill
6.28%
▼ -18bp
BoT WAR · vs prior auction
Inflation
4.3%
latest print
NBS · monthly

The read: the Friday close, with the move across the whole week beside it; not the one-session change the daily Brief shows. The implication: the index level alone never says whether the week was broad or carried by a couple of names; breadth and turnover do.

DSE weekly tape check

DSE · 5 verified sessions to 2026-09-18
Sessions
5
verified DSE closes
Weekly turnover
TZS 53.1bn
sum of the week's value traded
Breadth
0 up / 0 down
0 unchanged · counters that moved across the week
Best session
+0.68%
2026-09-14
Worst session
-0.70%
2026-09-16
Peak concentration
91%
NMB carried 2026-09-17
Concentration by session; the top name’s share of each session’s turnover
2026-09-14 · NMB
53%
2026-09-15 · NMB
76%
2026-09-16 · NMB
34%
2026-09-17 · NMB
91%
2026-09-18 · CRDB
55%

What the index hid: highly concentrated; the single heaviest name took 91% of one session’s turnover. A week can look active and still be carried by one counter. Each close, fully broken down; After the Bell →

The hurdle rate

Bank of Tanzania · WARs as at 2026-10-07
CBR · policy anchor
6.25%
91-day WAR · the front end
3.49%
182-day WAR
5.63%
364-day WAR · income anchor
6.28%

How to read this: short government paper is the opportunity cost of taking equity risk. Why it matters: the higher the front end sits, the more dividends, earnings growth and liquidity equities must deliver to clear it. Educational; not advice.

The transmission chain

How a weaker shilling reaches the shopping basket
The shilling
USD/TZS 2,632
▲ +0.13%
2026-10-14 · Bank of Tanzania
Fuel cap
Diesel TZS 4,086/l
▲ +5.39%
2026-10 · EWURA · monthly cap
Food
Maize TZS 74,500/t
flat
2026-08-24 · Wholesale · MIT
Cost of living
CPI 4.3%
latest print
August 2026 headline · NBS · monthly

How to read this: each link carries its own authority and its own lag; FX moves daily, fuel caps monthly, food weekly, CPI monthly. Why it matters: this is the chain that turns a currency move into a cost-of-living move. Descriptive, not predictive; the links are shown, not forecast.

KANZA CAPITAL PARTNERSThe Weekly Brief
The DSE week to 18 Sep
DSEI -1.20% · TSI -2.25% · USD/TZS +0.13% on the week
Read: Headline and domestic agreed.
Weekly moves computed from verified closes · 2026-09-18kanzacapitalpartners.com · education, not advice

The week card; built to be screenshotted and shared. Every figure is computed from the verified record.

The week in 90 seconds
  1. Shares fell as less money changed hands
  2. Domestic shares led the weekly decline
  3. Less money changed hands across the week
WatchEquity prices and trading valueWeek ending 25 September
Read the full Brief ↓

Did the domestic market and the headline index move together or apart over the covered quarter?

The domestic market against the headline index

Cumulative TSI return minus cumulative DSEI return · frozen at the 2026-09-18 covered session

-0.19 ppCurrent spread+1.00 ppHighest spread-1.91 ppLowest spread
Coverage 2026-06-22 → 2026-09-18 Vintage 2026-09-18 · final Revision current · v0
The domestic market against the headline index. Exact values underlying the chart.
DateRelationshipCumulative gap (pp)
2026-06-22Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0
2026-06-23Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.21
2026-06-24Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.31
2026-06-25Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.28
2026-06-26Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.84
2026-06-29Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.9
2026-06-30Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.63
2026-07-01Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.91
2026-07-02Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.12
2026-07-03Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.82
2026-07-06Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.65
2026-07-08Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.88
2026-07-09Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.87
2026-07-10Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.86
2026-07-13Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.88
2026-07-14Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.08
2026-07-15Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.91
2026-07-16Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.11
2026-07-17Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.01
2026-07-20Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.98
2026-07-21Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.81
2026-07-22Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.73
2026-07-23Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.62
2026-07-24Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.73
2026-07-27Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.73
2026-07-28Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.33
2026-07-29Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.24
2026-07-30Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.26
2026-07-31Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.19
2026-08-03Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.28
2026-08-04Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.4
2026-08-05Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.61
2026-08-06Cumulative TSI minus DSEIN/A
2026-08-07Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.95
2026-08-10Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.58
2026-08-11Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.34
2026-08-12Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.55
2026-08-13Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.62
2026-08-14Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.37
2026-08-17Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.57
2026-08-18Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.68
2026-08-19Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.95
2026-08-20Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.82
2026-08-21Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.89
2026-08-24Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.51
2026-08-26Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0
2026-08-27Cumulative TSI minus DSEIN/A
2026-08-28Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.65
2026-08-31Cumulative TSI minus DSEIN/A
2026-09-01Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.25
2026-09-02Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.79
2026-09-03Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.88
2026-09-04Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.91
2026-09-07Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.49
2026-09-08Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.07
2026-09-09Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.12
2026-09-10Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1
2026-09-11Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.87
2026-09-14Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.63
2026-09-15Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.42
2026-09-16Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.57
2026-09-17Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.3
2026-09-18Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.19

Read: Above zero means the domestic index led. Below zero means the all-share led. A flat line near zero means their paths were similar.

Index scope differs. The measure adds only sessions with comparable published returns and is not a portfolio return. The excluded session remains disclosed in the values table.

The week in review

Shares fell as less money changed hands

Signal

Tanzania’s main share-price measures fell this week. Less money changed hands in share trading.

Why it matters

Domestic shares fell more than the broader market. Friday close: DSEI 4,602.26, TSI 10,166.24.

What to watch

Next week tests whether trading broadens as prices change.

Source: DSE · Edition 19 Sep 2026
Go deeper →
Equities

Domestic shares led the weekly decline

Signal

The all-share index fell 1.20%; the domestic index fell 2.25% between 11 and 18 September.

Why it matters

Banks and finance fell 4.32%, while services rose 9.22%. The broad decline did not describe every sector.

What to watch

Next week: price direction alongside the number of shares that trade.

Source: Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange (DSE), official index endpoints, 11 and 18 September 2026 · Edition 19 Sep 2026 · Data verified · interpretation: Medium confidence
Go deeper →
Get the Weekly Brief every weekend.

A sourced review of the full Tanzania market week: the DSE tape and who actually carried it, rates, FX, policy, macro, companies; and what to watch next. Prefer the weekend digest to a daily note? Choose weekly only.

Choose Daily, Weekly, or both; they are separate subscriptions. Information and education only. No advice. No noise. Unsubscribe anytime.
Trading value

Less money changed hands across the week

Signal

Equity trading totalled TZS 53.054 billion across five sessions, 13.12% below the prior week.

Why it matters

Trading value measures completed exchanges, not new capital raised. Friday’s TZS 4.301 billion is one session, not the week.

What to watch

Next week: total trading and how widely it spreads across companies.

Source: DSE Daily Market Reports, 7 to 18 September 2026; sum of daily equity totals in TZS million divided by 1,000 · Edition 19 Sep 2026 · Data verified · interpretation: Medium confidence
Go deeper →
Rates and policy

Earlier auction yields carry into the next week

Signal

The latest bill auction remains 9 September: annual yields were 2.29%, 3.42%, 4.92% and 6.47%.

Why it matters

Yield is annual return implied by price. The 6.25% policy rate serves a different purpose; neither is a customer’s assured net return.

What to watch

Next official bill result, compared at the same maturity.

Source: Bank of Tanzania (BoT), Treasury-bill auction 1206, 9 September 2026; Central Bank Rate for Q3 2026 · Edition 19 Sep 2026 · Data verified · interpretation: Medium confidence
Go deeper →
Currency

One United States dollar cost slightly more shillings

Signal

The official mean rose 0.13% from TZS 2,637.9658 to 2,641.3390 per United States dollar between the two Fridays.

Why it matters

A higher quote means more shillings per dollar. Customer rates and charges differ; the chart omits the provisional 14 September reading.

What to watch

Next dated sheet; the strip separately shows the provisional 19 September mean.

Source: Bank of Tanzania, final dated indicative means, 11 to 18 September 2026; not customer conversion rates · Edition 19 Sep 2026 · Data verified · interpretation: Medium confidence
Go deeper →
Prices

Slower food inflation still means rising food prices

Signal

August’s annual inflation was 4.3%, up from July’s 4.2%. Food inflation slowed from 4.1% to 3.7%.

Why it matters

These are monthly readings released on 8 September, not weekly price changes. A slower increase does not mean a cheaper food basket.

What to watch

Next National Bureau of Statistics consumer-price release.

Source: National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), Mainland Tanzania NCPI, August 2026, released 8 September; annual changes, not weekly changes · Edition 19 Sep 2026 · Data verified · interpretation: Medium confidence
Go deeper →
Opportunity Wire

Lower petroleum-import spending enters the external-balance watch

Signal

A 19 September state-media report says Tanzania spent less on petroleum imports. It provides no value, comparison period or price-volume split.

Why it matters

A smaller import bill could reduce demand for foreign currency. Without the official value and period, the size and cause of the change remain unavailable.

What to watch

The next Bank of Tanzania monthly economic review for the import value, comparison period and price-volume split.

Source: dailynews.co.tz · Edition 19 Sep 2026 · Data as reported · interpretation: Medium confidence
Go deeper →
The Ghost

The model book

Hypothetical Ghost: +17.06% since inception, marked 18 September. Contributions are separate from performance; not a real portfolio.

Ghost relevance: how today’s rates, FX, gold and inflation read against a hypothetical model-book; educational, not advice.

Open the Ghost tracker → The terrain it reads →

Companies of the week

DSE · weekly move & tape weight to 2026-09-18 · covered names

How these were chosen: not hand-picked; the name that carried the tape, the week’s biggest gain and steepest fall, then the heaviest remaining names. Educational context only; not a recommendation, and never a price target.

How the week changed the terrain

The Ghost · hypothetical model book · educational

The Ghost does not move because a week moved; it updates the model-book risk map. Where the book stands → · The terrain it reads →

Week ahead; what to watch
WhenEventWhy it matters
Week ending 25 SeptemberEquity prices and trading valueCompare five complete sessions; an index rise alone does not establish broader trading.
Next official result, date unconfirmedTreasury-bill auction resultCompare the same maturity and preserve the auction date.
Next dated Bank of Tanzania sheetOfficial currency observationsSeparate indicative means from customer rates and charges.
Get the Weekly Brief every weekend.

A sourced review of the full Tanzania market week: the DSE tape and who actually carried it, rates, FX, policy, macro, companies; and what to watch next. Prefer the weekend digest to a daily note? Choose weekly only.

Choose Daily, Weekly, or both; they are separate subscriptions. Information and education only. No advice. No noise. Unsubscribe anytime.

Information and education, not advice or a solicitation. DSE close: 18 Sep 2026. Weekly index endpoints: 11 and 18 September. Trading window: 14 to 18 September. FX strip: provisional 19 September sheet; chart: final observations through 18 September. Inflation is monthly. Live updates: Markets.

Archive; past editions59
Share-price measures fell; trading stayed concentratedWednesday, 14 October 2026Indices rose, with trading concentrated in two banksTuesday, 13 October 2026Share prices rose, but the gains were unevenMonday, 12 October 2026Friday’s rise left share prices lower for the weekSaturday, 10 October 2026Share-price measures fell on a quieter trading dayFriday, 9 October 2026Share-price measures fell as more money changed handsThursday, 8 October 2026Share-price measures rose as less money changed handsWednesday, 7 October 2026Share-price measures fell while trading value barely changedTuesday, 6 October 2026More money traded in shares as both price indices fellMonday, 5 October 2026Domestic shares fell faster than the wider marketSaturday, 3 October 2026Share trading slowed as both price indices fellFriday, 2 October 2026Share trading rose as both price indices edged higherThursday, 1 October 2026More money traded in shares while both indices fellWednesday, 30 September 2026Both share indices fell as trading value roseTuesday, 29 September 2026Share prices rose, but two banks carried most trading valueMonday, 28 September 2026Can the share-price rise hold across more of the market?Sunday, 27 September 2026Domestic shares rose faster than the wider marketSaturday, 26 September 2026Share indices rose, while two banks carried most trading valueFriday, 25 September 2026Share-price measures fell; two banks carried most trading moneyThursday, 24 September 2026Shares rose, but one bank carried most trading valueWednesday, 23 September 2026Share prices rose, and more traded companies advanced than declinedTuesday, 22 September 2026Share indices fell, with most trading in two banksMonday, 21 September 2026Wednesday tests borrowing costs after a weaker share-trading weekSunday, 20 September 2026Share indices fell as NMB dominated tradingFriday, 18 September 2026Both indices fell as trading stayed narrowThursday, 17 September 2026Indices split, trading stayed concentratedWednesday, 16 September 2026Indices rose, trading stayed narrowTuesday, 15 September 2026Friday gains, concentrated tradingMonday, 14 September 2026Will trading value catch up with rising indices?Sunday, 13 September 2026Share indices rose as less money changed handsSaturday, 12 September 2026Both main indices rose as two banks carried most tradingFriday, 11 September 2026Both main indices rose as equity turnover fell by halfThursday, 10 September 2026The broad index fell while domestic shares edged higherWednesday, 9 September 2026Both main indices rose again, while two banks carried most trading valueTuesday, 8 September 2026Both main indices rose, but two banks still carried most trading valueMonday, 7 September 2026Index direction, trading breadth and Wednesday's bill auction set the next testsSunday, 6 September 2026The broad market rose while Tanzania-listed shares ended lowerSaturday, 5 September 2026CRDB supplied more than three quarters of Thursday's equity turnoverFriday, 4 September 2026Wednesday's DSE close combined a higher DSEI with a lower TSIThursday, 3 September 2026Tuesday's indices weakened while NMB carried most trading valueWednesday, 2 September 2026Monday eased while one bank carried most trading valueTuesday, 1 September 2026Friday rose, but one bank still carried most trading valueMonday, 31 August 2026Comparability, liquidity breadth and Wednesday's bond auction set the next evidence testsSunday, 30 August 2026Index returns stayed unavailable as Friday liquidity remained concentratedSaturday, 29 August 2026DSE index returns went unavailable as NMB carried 89.8% of turnoverFriday, 28 August 2026Mobile access widened as the verified tape strengthened and bill yields fellThursday, 27 August 2026Swissport’s cash conversion strengthened while DSE index returns remained unavailableWednesday, 26 August 2026The DSE scale changed while the underlying equity tape remained activeTuesday, 25 August 2026The DSE indices eased as CRDB carried most verified turnoverMonday, 24 August 2026A split index tape, lighter Friday liquidity and stable FX set up the next evidence testsSunday, 23 August 2026The All-Share rose, the domestic tape slipped and liquidity thinned into FridaySaturday, 22 August 2026DSEI edged up as CRDB led the verified turnover poolFriday, 21 August 2026DSEI rose as NMB carried 59.2% of turnoverThursday, 20 August 2026Friday's wider advance still depended on three counters for 84.7% of turnoverMonday, 17 August 2026NMB mechanics and a long-bond auction turn last week's gains into tests of market depthSunday, 16 August 2026Both indices rose, but five-session turnover still depended on a few namesSaturday, 15 August 2026Both headline indices accelerated; NMB still carried 66.1% of turnoverFriday, 14 August 2026Both headline indices advanced; NMB still carried 72.5% of turnoverThursday, 13 August 2026Both headline indices fell; two banks still carried 87.6% of turnoverWednesday, 12 August 2026