Tanzania Share Index 10,234.40 ▲ 0.25%USD / TZS 2,635.57Equity turnover TZS 2.23bn 6 Oct 2026 verified close
Tanzania Intelligence

The Brief

Vol. I · No. 277
Wednesday, 7 October 2026
Verified closeDSE · BoT · frozen to the covered session6 Oct 2026 verified close

A daily reading of Tanzania’s markets, capital and policy, with regional and global forces when they materially change the read. Information and education, never advice.

The Brief is written the morning after the market closes. This edition analyses Tuesday, 6 October 2026; the most recent verified session. Its figures are frozen to that close; for today’s live moves see Markets.

DSE All-Share
4,623.56▲ 0.22%
DSEI · 6 Oct close · daily move
Tanzania Share Index
10,234.40
TSI · 6 Oct · domestic
USD / TZS
2,635.57
BoT mean · 7 Oct sheet
91-day T-bill
3.49%
BoT WAR · latest auction
364-day T-bill
6.28%
BoT WAR · latest auction
Today in 60 seconds
  1. Share-price measures rose as less money changed hands
  2. Trading value fell while headline price measures rose
  3. The official dollar reference uses fewer shillings
WatchNext DSE share-trading reportNext official session; publication timing unconfirmed
Read the full Brief ↓

Did the domestic market and the headline index move together or apart over the covered quarter?

The domestic market against the headline index

Cumulative TSI return minus cumulative DSEI return · frozen at the 2026-10-06 covered session

+0.89 ppCurrent spread+1.87 ppHighest spread-1.05 ppLowest spread
Coverage 2026-07-09 → 2026-10-06 Vintage 2026-10-06 · final Revision current · v0
The domestic market against the headline index. Exact values underlying the chart.
DateRelationshipCumulative gap (pp)
2026-07-09Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0
2026-07-10Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.01
2026-07-13Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.01
2026-07-14Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.21
2026-07-15Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.05
2026-07-16Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.25
2026-07-17Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.14
2026-07-20Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.11
2026-07-21Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.05
2026-07-22Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.14
2026-07-23Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.24
2026-07-24Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.86
2026-07-27Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.14
2026-07-28Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.53
2026-07-29Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.62
2026-07-30Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.6
2026-07-31Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.67
2026-08-03Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.59
2026-08-04Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.47
2026-08-05Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.25
2026-08-06Cumulative TSI minus DSEIN/A
2026-08-07Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.08
2026-08-10Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.29
2026-08-11Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.53
2026-08-12Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.32
2026-08-13Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.24
2026-08-14Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.49
2026-08-17Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.3
2026-08-18Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.19
2026-08-19Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.09
2026-08-20Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.05
2026-08-21Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.03
2026-08-24Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.35
2026-08-26Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.87
2026-08-27Cumulative TSI minus DSEIN/A
2026-08-28Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.52
2026-08-31Cumulative TSI minus DSEIN/A
2026-09-01Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.12
2026-09-02Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.07
2026-09-03Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.01
2026-09-04Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1.05
2026-09-07Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.38
2026-09-08Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.93
2026-09-09Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.98
2026-09-10Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.87
2026-09-11Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.73
2026-09-14Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.5
2026-09-15Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.29
2026-09-16Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.44
2026-09-17Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.56
2026-09-18Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.67
2026-09-21Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.31
2026-09-22Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.34
2026-09-23Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.3
2026-09-24Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.38
2026-09-25Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.42
2026-09-28Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.11
2026-09-29Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.05
2026-09-30Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.25
2026-10-01Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.95
2026-10-02Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.92
2026-10-05Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.86
2026-10-06Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.89

Read: Above zero means the domestic index led. Below zero means the all-share led. A flat line near zero means their paths were similar.

Index scope differs. The measure adds only sessions with comparable published returns and is not a portfolio return. The excluded session remains disclosed in the values table.

DSE Tape Check

Market breadth
Positive tilt
8 rose, 7 fell
Advancers against decliners on the verified DSE close.
Turnover concentration
Block-driven
One name carried the tape
CRDB Bank was 51% of turnover; index moves overstate how broad the day really was.

Descriptive flags from the verified DSE close; not signals, predictions, or advice. The official close, fully broken down; After the Bell →

Tuesday’s verified close

Share-price measures rose as less money changed hands

Signal

Both main share-price measures rose on Tuesday. Less money changed hands in shares than on Monday.

Why it matters

DSE All-Share 4,623.56 (+0.22%); Tanzania Share Index 10,234.40 (+0.25%). Share trading value fell from TZS 4.27bn to 2.23bn, rounded.

What to watch

Trading value measures money exchanged for shares. A smaller total cannot establish why people traded.

Source: Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange, 5 and 6 October Daily Market Reports and verified index history · Edition 7 Oct 2026
Go deeper →
Share trading

Trading value fell while headline price measures rose

Signal

Shares changed hands for TZS 2.23bn on Tuesday, down from TZS 4.27bn on Monday, rounded.

Why it matters

Price measures and money traded answer different questions. Lower trading value does not establish a loss of confidence.

What to watch

The next DSE report can show whether trading value changes again. Its publication timing is unconfirmed.

Source: Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange, 5 and 6 October Daily Market Reports · Edition 7 Oct 2026 · Data verified · interpretation: Medium confidence
Go deeper →
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Currency

The official dollar reference uses fewer shillings

Signal

The 7 October official reference uses fewer shillings per United States dollar than the 6 October figure.

Why it matters

Bank of Tanzania means: TZS 2,637.24 on 6 October, final; 2,635.57 on 7 October, provisional and rounded. Customer exchange prices can differ.

What to watch

A finalized 7 October sheet would test the provisional reference. Its publication timing is unconfirmed.

Source: Bank of Tanzania, daily indicative sheets dated 6 and 7 October · Edition 7 Oct 2026 · Data verified · interpretation: Medium confidence
Go deeper →
Railway revenue

Railway receipts need a matching cost account

Signal

Daily News reports over TZS 169bn earned by the Dar to Morogoro railway since passenger services began in June 2024.

Why it matters

Revenue is money received before costs. Without matching operating costs and loan payments, the report cannot establish profit.

What to watch

Accounts covering the same period would show costs and debt payments. Their publication date is unconfirmed.

Source: dailynews.co.tz · Edition 7 Oct 2026 · Data as reported · interpretation: Medium confidence
Go deeper →
The Ghost

The model book

The Ghost hypothetical model book showed +17.75% since inception at its 6 October mark. Contributions are separate from performance; this is not a real portfolio.

Ghost relevance: how today’s rates, FX, gold and inflation read against a hypothetical model-book; educational, not advice.

Open the Ghost tracker → The terrain it reads →
Week ahead; what to watch
WhenEventWhy it matters
Next official session; publication timing unconfirmedNext DSE share-trading reportDistinguishes money exchanged for shares from changes in their prices.
Publication timing unconfirmedFinalized 7 October Bank of Tanzania currency sheetTests the provisional dollar mean against a final observation.
Next accounts covering the reported period; date unconfirmedRailway revenue and cost accountsWould show whether revenue covers operating costs and debt payments.
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Information and education only, not advice or a forecast. DSE close: 6 October 2026. Other observations retain their own source dates.

Archive; past editions59
Share-price measures fell; trading stayed concentratedWednesday, 14 October 2026Indices rose, with trading concentrated in two banksTuesday, 13 October 2026Share prices rose, but the gains were unevenMonday, 12 October 2026Friday’s rise left share prices lower for the weekSaturday, 10 October 2026Share-price measures fell on a quieter trading dayFriday, 9 October 2026Share-price measures fell as more money changed handsThursday, 8 October 2026Share-price measures fell while trading value barely changedTuesday, 6 October 2026More money traded in shares as both price indices fellMonday, 5 October 2026Domestic shares fell faster than the wider marketSaturday, 3 October 2026Share trading slowed as both price indices fellFriday, 2 October 2026Share trading rose as both price indices edged higherThursday, 1 October 2026More money traded in shares while both indices fellWednesday, 30 September 2026Both share indices fell as trading value roseTuesday, 29 September 2026Share prices rose, but two banks carried most trading valueMonday, 28 September 2026Can the share-price rise hold across more of the market?Sunday, 27 September 2026Domestic shares rose faster than the wider marketSaturday, 26 September 2026Share indices rose, while two banks carried most trading valueFriday, 25 September 2026Share-price measures fell; two banks carried most trading moneyThursday, 24 September 2026Shares rose, but one bank carried most trading valueWednesday, 23 September 2026Share prices rose, and more traded companies advanced than declinedTuesday, 22 September 2026Share indices fell, with most trading in two banksMonday, 21 September 2026Wednesday tests borrowing costs after a weaker share-trading weekSunday, 20 September 2026Shares fell as less money changed handsSaturday, 19 September 2026Share indices fell as NMB dominated tradingFriday, 18 September 2026Both indices fell as trading stayed narrowThursday, 17 September 2026Indices split, trading stayed concentratedWednesday, 16 September 2026Indices rose, trading stayed narrowTuesday, 15 September 2026Friday gains, concentrated tradingMonday, 14 September 2026Will trading value catch up with rising indices?Sunday, 13 September 2026Share indices rose as less money changed handsSaturday, 12 September 2026Both main indices rose as two banks carried most tradingFriday, 11 September 2026Both main indices rose as equity turnover fell by halfThursday, 10 September 2026The broad index fell while domestic shares edged higherWednesday, 9 September 2026Both main indices rose again, while two banks carried most trading valueTuesday, 8 September 2026Both main indices rose, but two banks still carried most trading valueMonday, 7 September 2026Index direction, trading breadth and Wednesday's bill auction set the next testsSunday, 6 September 2026The broad market rose while Tanzania-listed shares ended lowerSaturday, 5 September 2026CRDB supplied more than three quarters of Thursday's equity turnoverFriday, 4 September 2026Wednesday's DSE close combined a higher DSEI with a lower TSIThursday, 3 September 2026Tuesday's indices weakened while NMB carried most trading valueWednesday, 2 September 2026Monday eased while one bank carried most trading valueTuesday, 1 September 2026Friday rose, but one bank still carried most trading valueMonday, 31 August 2026Comparability, liquidity breadth and Wednesday's bond auction set the next evidence testsSunday, 30 August 2026Index returns stayed unavailable as Friday liquidity remained concentratedSaturday, 29 August 2026DSE index returns went unavailable as NMB carried 89.8% of turnoverFriday, 28 August 2026Mobile access widened as the verified tape strengthened and bill yields fellThursday, 27 August 2026Swissport’s cash conversion strengthened while DSE index returns remained unavailableWednesday, 26 August 2026The DSE scale changed while the underlying equity tape remained activeTuesday, 25 August 2026The DSE indices eased as CRDB carried most verified turnoverMonday, 24 August 2026A split index tape, lighter Friday liquidity and stable FX set up the next evidence testsSunday, 23 August 2026The All-Share rose, the domestic tape slipped and liquidity thinned into FridaySaturday, 22 August 2026DSEI edged up as CRDB led the verified turnover poolFriday, 21 August 2026DSEI rose as NMB carried 59.2% of turnoverThursday, 20 August 2026Friday's wider advance still depended on three counters for 84.7% of turnoverMonday, 17 August 2026NMB mechanics and a long-bond auction turn last week's gains into tests of market depthSunday, 16 August 2026Both indices rose, but five-session turnover still depended on a few namesSaturday, 15 August 2026Both headline indices accelerated; NMB still carried 66.1% of turnoverFriday, 14 August 2026Both headline indices advanced; NMB still carried 72.5% of turnoverThursday, 13 August 2026Both headline indices fell; two banks still carried 87.6% of turnoverWednesday, 12 August 2026