Tanzania Share Index 10,183.32 ▲ 0.41%USD / TZS 2,631.43Equity turnover TZS 3.57bn 12 Oct 2026 verified close
Tanzania Intelligence

The Brief

Vol. I · No. 282
Tuesday, 13 October 2026
Verified closeDSE · BoT · frozen to the covered session12 Oct 2026 verified close

A daily reading of Tanzania’s markets, capital and policy, with regional and global forces when they materially change the read. Information and education, never advice.

The Brief is written the morning after the market closes. This edition analyses Monday, 12 October 2026; the most recent verified session. Its figures are frozen to that close; for today’s live moves see Markets.

DSE All-Share
4,617.77▲ 0.44%
DSEI · 12 Oct close · daily move
Tanzania Share Index
10,183.32
TSI · 12 Oct · domestic
USD / TZS
2,631.43
BoT mean · 13 Oct sheet · provisional
91-day T-bill
3.49%
BoT WAR · latest auction
364-day T-bill
6.28%
BoT WAR · latest auction
Today in 60 seconds
  1. Indices rose, with trading concentrated in two banks
  2. Two banks accounted for most share trading
  3. Compensation pays residents before port construction
WatchNext verified DSE closeNext official session; publication time unconfirmed
Read the full Brief ↓

Did the domestic market and the headline index move together or apart over the covered quarter?

The domestic market against the headline index

Cumulative TSI return minus cumulative DSEI return · frozen at the 2026-10-12 covered session

+0.57 ppCurrent spread+1.91 ppHighest spread-1.00 ppLowest spread
Coverage 2026-07-15 → 2026-10-12 Vintage 2026-10-12 · final Revision current · v0
The domestic market against the headline index. Exact values underlying the chart.
DateRelationshipCumulative gap (pp)
2026-07-15Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0
2026-07-16Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.2
2026-07-17Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.1
2026-07-20Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.06
2026-07-21Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.1
2026-07-22Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.18
2026-07-23Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.29
2026-07-24Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.82
2026-07-27Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.18
2026-07-28Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.58
2026-07-29Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.67
2026-07-30Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.65
2026-07-31Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.72
2026-08-03Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.63
2026-08-04Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.51
2026-08-05Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.3
2026-08-06Cumulative TSI minus DSEIN/A
2026-08-07Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.04
2026-08-10Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.33
2026-08-11Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.57
2026-08-12Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.36
2026-08-13Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.29
2026-08-14Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.54
2026-08-17Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.35
2026-08-18Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.23
2026-08-19Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.04
2026-08-20Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.09
2026-08-21Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.02
2026-08-24Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.4
2026-08-26Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.91
2026-08-27Cumulative TSI minus DSEIN/A
2026-08-28Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.57
2026-08-31Cumulative TSI minus DSEIN/A
2026-09-01Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.16
2026-09-02Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.12
2026-09-03Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-0.97
2026-09-04Cumulative TSI minus DSEI-1
2026-09-07Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.42
2026-09-08Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.98
2026-09-09Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.03
2026-09-10Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.91
2026-09-11Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.78
2026-09-14Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.54
2026-09-15Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.34
2026-09-16Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.48
2026-09-17Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.61
2026-09-18Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.72
2026-09-21Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.36
2026-09-22Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.38
2026-09-23Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.35
2026-09-24Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.43
2026-09-25Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.47
2026-09-28Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.15
2026-09-29Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.1
2026-09-30Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1.3
2026-10-01Cumulative TSI minus DSEI1
2026-10-02Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.97
2026-10-05Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.91
2026-10-06Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.94
2026-10-07Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.84
2026-10-08Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.58
2026-10-09Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.6
2026-10-12Cumulative TSI minus DSEI0.57

Read: Above zero means the domestic index led. Below zero means the all-share led. A flat line near zero means their paths were similar.

Index scope differs. The measure adds only sessions with comparable published returns and is not a portfolio return. The excluded session remains disclosed in the values table.

DSE Tape Check

Market breadth
Broad advance
10 rose, 6 fell
Advancers against decliners on the verified DSE close.
Turnover concentration
Block-driven
One name carried the tape
CRDB Bank was 74% of turnover; index moves overstate how broad the day really was.

Descriptive flags from the verified DSE close; not signals, predictions, or advice. The official close, fully broken down; After the Bell →

Monday’s verified close

Indices rose, with trading concentrated in two banks

Signal

The main share-price measures rose on Monday, while the value traded fell. CRDB and NMB accounted for most of that trading.

Why it matters

DSEI closed at 4,617.77, up 0.44%, and TSI at 10,183.32, up 0.41%, on 12 October. Equity turnover fell 7.1% from Friday.

What to watch

Two banks accounted for 93.4% of equity turnover. Weighted price changes and the value traded do not explain investors’ motives.

Source: Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange, verified 9 and 12 October closes · Edition 13 Oct 2026
Go deeper →
Monday’s verified close

Two banks accounted for most share trading

Signal

The main share-price measures rose on Monday, while the value traded fell. Most trading went through CRDB and NMB.

Why it matters

Equity turnover was TZS 3.57 billion, 7.1% below Friday. CRDB and NMB accounted for 93.4%. DSEI rose 0.44%; TSI rose 0.41%.

What to watch

The value traded and weighted price changes measure different things. These figures do not establish why investors traded or how many companies rose.

Source: Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange, verified 9 and 12 October closes · Edition 13 Oct 2026 · Data verified · interpretation: Medium confidence
Go deeper →
Get the Daily Brief before the market opens.

A free daily Tanzania market-intelligence note covering DSE moves, rates, FX, policy, macro signals and what to watch next.

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Opportunity Wire

Compensation pays residents before port construction

Signal

Daily News reports TZS 49 billion in compensation for residents relocating for Bagamoyo Port. This pays residents, not port construction.

Why it matters

The report attributes the cumulative payment to a Tanzania Ports Authority official. It says land acquisition is complete and channel-contractor procurement preparations continue.

What to watch

A construction financing agreement or contractor award would clarify the next step. The compensation report establishes neither; no verified construction date is available.

Source: dailynews.co.tz · Edition 13 Oct 2026 · Data as reported · interpretation: Medium confidence
Go deeper →
Environmental funding

An initial allocation differs from potential extra funds

Signal

Daily News reports an initial environmental-funding allocation and possible additional funds. Its roughly US$41 million headline is not verified cash received.

Why it matters

The report quotes the Vice-President’s Office: US$16.04 million initially allocated under the Global Environment Facility’s ninth funding cycle, plus possible access to US$20 million and US$5 million.

What to watch

Approved project terms and disbursement records would show recipients, conditions and payments. The reported initial allocation and possible additions have different certainty.

Source: dailynews.co.tz · Edition 13 Oct 2026 · Data as reported · interpretation: Medium confidence
Go deeper →
The Ghost

The model book

The hypothetical Ghost model book recorded +18.00% since inception at the 12 October mark. Its Modified Dietz calculation accounts for contribution timing; it is not a live portfolio or an index return.

Ghost relevance: how today’s rates, FX, gold and inflation read against a hypothetical model-book; educational, not advice.

Open the Ghost tracker → The terrain it reads →
Week ahead; what to watch
WhenEventWhy it matters
Next official session; publication time unconfirmedNext verified DSE closeTests how share-price measures and trading concentration change from the 12 October session.
No verified date in the 12 October reportBagamoyo construction financing or contractor awardDistinguishes compensation and procurement preparation from funded construction.
No verified date in the 12 October reportEnvironmental project approval and disbursementTests which reported allocations become approved projects and actual payments.
Get the Daily Brief before the market opens.

A free daily Tanzania market-intelligence note covering DSE moves, rates, FX, policy, macro signals and what to watch next.

Information and education only. No advice. No noise. Unsubscribe anytime.

Information and education only, not advice or a forecast. DSE close: 12 October 2026. Other observations retain their own source dates.

Archive; past editions59
Share-price measures fell; trading stayed concentratedWednesday, 14 October 2026Share prices rose, but the gains were unevenMonday, 12 October 2026Friday’s rise left share prices lower for the weekSaturday, 10 October 2026Share-price measures fell on a quieter trading dayFriday, 9 October 2026Share-price measures fell as more money changed handsThursday, 8 October 2026Share-price measures rose as less money changed handsWednesday, 7 October 2026Share-price measures fell while trading value barely changedTuesday, 6 October 2026More money traded in shares as both price indices fellMonday, 5 October 2026Domestic shares fell faster than the wider marketSaturday, 3 October 2026Share trading slowed as both price indices fellFriday, 2 October 2026Share trading rose as both price indices edged higherThursday, 1 October 2026More money traded in shares while both indices fellWednesday, 30 September 2026Both share indices fell as trading value roseTuesday, 29 September 2026Share prices rose, but two banks carried most trading valueMonday, 28 September 2026Can the share-price rise hold across more of the market?Sunday, 27 September 2026Domestic shares rose faster than the wider marketSaturday, 26 September 2026Share indices rose, while two banks carried most trading valueFriday, 25 September 2026Share-price measures fell; two banks carried most trading moneyThursday, 24 September 2026Shares rose, but one bank carried most trading valueWednesday, 23 September 2026Share prices rose, and more traded companies advanced than declinedTuesday, 22 September 2026Share indices fell, with most trading in two banksMonday, 21 September 2026Wednesday tests borrowing costs after a weaker share-trading weekSunday, 20 September 2026Shares fell as less money changed handsSaturday, 19 September 2026Share indices fell as NMB dominated tradingFriday, 18 September 2026Both indices fell as trading stayed narrowThursday, 17 September 2026Indices split, trading stayed concentratedWednesday, 16 September 2026Indices rose, trading stayed narrowTuesday, 15 September 2026Friday gains, concentrated tradingMonday, 14 September 2026Will trading value catch up with rising indices?Sunday, 13 September 2026Share indices rose as less money changed handsSaturday, 12 September 2026Both main indices rose as two banks carried most tradingFriday, 11 September 2026Both main indices rose as equity turnover fell by halfThursday, 10 September 2026The broad index fell while domestic shares edged higherWednesday, 9 September 2026Both main indices rose again, while two banks carried most trading valueTuesday, 8 September 2026Both main indices rose, but two banks still carried most trading valueMonday, 7 September 2026Index direction, trading breadth and Wednesday's bill auction set the next testsSunday, 6 September 2026The broad market rose while Tanzania-listed shares ended lowerSaturday, 5 September 2026CRDB supplied more than three quarters of Thursday's equity turnoverFriday, 4 September 2026Wednesday's DSE close combined a higher DSEI with a lower TSIThursday, 3 September 2026Tuesday's indices weakened while NMB carried most trading valueWednesday, 2 September 2026Monday eased while one bank carried most trading valueTuesday, 1 September 2026Friday rose, but one bank still carried most trading valueMonday, 31 August 2026Comparability, liquidity breadth and Wednesday's bond auction set the next evidence testsSunday, 30 August 2026Index returns stayed unavailable as Friday liquidity remained concentratedSaturday, 29 August 2026DSE index returns went unavailable as NMB carried 89.8% of turnoverFriday, 28 August 2026Mobile access widened as the verified tape strengthened and bill yields fellThursday, 27 August 2026Swissport’s cash conversion strengthened while DSE index returns remained unavailableWednesday, 26 August 2026The DSE scale changed while the underlying equity tape remained activeTuesday, 25 August 2026The DSE indices eased as CRDB carried most verified turnoverMonday, 24 August 2026A split index tape, lighter Friday liquidity and stable FX set up the next evidence testsSunday, 23 August 2026The All-Share rose, the domestic tape slipped and liquidity thinned into FridaySaturday, 22 August 2026DSEI edged up as CRDB led the verified turnover poolFriday, 21 August 2026DSEI rose as NMB carried 59.2% of turnoverThursday, 20 August 2026Friday's wider advance still depended on three counters for 84.7% of turnoverMonday, 17 August 2026NMB mechanics and a long-bond auction turn last week's gains into tests of market depthSunday, 16 August 2026Both indices rose, but five-session turnover still depended on a few namesSaturday, 15 August 2026Both headline indices accelerated; NMB still carried 66.1% of turnoverFriday, 14 August 2026Both headline indices advanced; NMB still carried 72.5% of turnoverThursday, 13 August 2026Both headline indices fell; two banks still carried 87.6% of turnoverWednesday, 12 August 2026